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Halalan·Primaryang Republikano

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Primaryang Republikano

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 85%

Dan Bilzerian 10.0%

Aaron Baker 6.9%

Charles Gambaro <1%

Polymarket

$148,100 Vol.

Randy Fine 85%

Dan Bilzerian 10.0%

Aaron Baker 6.9%

Charles Gambaro <1%

Polymarket

$148,100 Vol.

Randy Fine

$15,778 Vol.

85%

Dan Bilzerian

$48,356 Vol.

10%

Aaron Baker

$15,639 Vol.

7%

Charles Gambaro

$11,390 Vol.

<1%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$27,835 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Vasquez

$9,954 Vol.

<1%

Ernest Audino

$19,148 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising lead—over $1 million raised per recent filings—and prior endorsement from President Trump during his 2025 special election victory in this Trump +30 district. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's April entry, criticizing Fine's pro-Israel stance with an "America First" pitch, has drawn buzz and lifted his shares to 10%, though his Las Vegas residency and absence from district events raise eligibility doubts among traders. Challenger Aaron Baker holds 6% after qualifying via petitions last week and ramping up local events, but his prior special election underperformance underscores incumbency barriers in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$148,100
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising lead—over $1 million raised per recent filings—and prior endorsement from President Trump during his 2025 special election victory in this Trump +30 district. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's April entry, criticizing Fine's pro-Israel stance with an "America First" pitch, has drawn buzz and lifted his shares to 10%, though his Las Vegas residency and absence from district events raise eligibility doubts among traders. Challenger Aaron Baker holds 6% after qualifying via petitions last week and ramping up local events, but his prior special election underperformance underscores incumbency barriers in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$148,100
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Randy Fine" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Dan Bilzerian" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $148.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 13, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Randy Fine" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dan Bilzerian" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.