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Halalan·Primaryang Republikano

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Primaryang Republikano

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 97.4%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Dan Bilzerian 1.3%

Alexandra Van Cleef 1.0%

Polymarket

$220,710 Vol.

Randy Fine 97.4%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Dan Bilzerian 1.3%

Alexandra Van Cleef 1.0%

Polymarket

$220,710 Vol.

icon for Randy Fine

Randy Fine

$31,778 Vol.

97%

icon for Aaron Baker

Aaron Baker

$21,356 Vol.

1%

icon for Dan Bilzerian

Dan Bilzerian

$75,593 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandra Van Cleef

Alexandra Van Cleef

$41,191 Vol.

1%

icon for Charles Gambaro

Charles Gambaro

$17,037 Vol.

1%

icon for Joshua Vasquez

Joshua Vasquez

$13,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Audino

Ernest Audino

$20,148 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th congressional district, driven by his incumbency after winning the 2025 special election and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Challengers including Aaron Baker and Dan Bilzerian trail significantly in cash on hand, with limited evidence of organized opposition or polling momentum that could close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflected in the 97% probability assigns overwhelming odds to Fine advancing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-profile primaries. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event, though none has surfaced in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$220,710
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th congressional district, driven by his incumbency after winning the 2025 special election and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Challengers including Aaron Baker and Dan Bilzerian trail significantly in cash on hand, with limited evidence of organized opposition or polling momentum that could close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflected in the 97% probability assigns overwhelming odds to Fine advancing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-profile primaries. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event, though none has surfaced in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$220,710
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Randy Fine" sa 97%, sinusundan ng "Aaron Baker" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 97¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $220.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 13, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Randy Fine" sa 97%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Aaron Baker" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.