The tight race in Florida's 9th Congressional District Republican primary stems from a crowded field of candidates with overlapping platforms centered on lowering living costs, fighting inflation, and economic concerns in a newly redrawn district. A Victory Insights poll from early August showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, with Dan Green close behind and over 40% of likely voters undecided, leaving limited separation among contenders. Butler's recent endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna has supported his narrow lead in trader pricing, while candidate forums, questionnaires, and limited name recognition across the field have sustained the competitive balance ahead of the August 18 primary. Late endorsements, turnout patterns, or final-week momentum could still shift the outcome among the top four.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Ben Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.7%
Thomas Chalifoux 15.6%
$128,391 Vol.
$128,391 Vol.

Ben Butler
31%

Dan Green
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
16%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.7%
Thomas Chalifoux 15.6%
$128,391 Vol.
$128,391 Vol.

Ben Butler
31%

Dan Green
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
16%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight race in Florida's 9th Congressional District Republican primary stems from a crowded field of candidates with overlapping platforms centered on lowering living costs, fighting inflation, and economic concerns in a newly redrawn district. A Victory Insights poll from early August showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, with Dan Green close behind and over 40% of likely voters undecided, leaving limited separation among contenders. Butler's recent endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna has supported his narrow lead in trader pricing, while candidate forums, questionnaires, and limited name recognition across the field have sustained the competitive balance ahead of the August 18 primary. Late endorsements, turnout patterns, or final-week momentum could still shift the outcome among the top four.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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