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Halalan·Ethiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Halalan·Ethiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 98.6%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$10,200 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 98.6%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$10,200 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$3,553 Vol.

99%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$977 Vol.

1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$486 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$817 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$977 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$986 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$986 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as leader of the Prosperity Party, poised to secure another parliamentary majority in Ethiopia's general election on June 1, 2026, where the House of Peoples' Representatives selects the premier. Recent parliamentary sessions featured Abiy's assurances of the "most open" polls yet, alongside active preparations by the National Election Board, amid his ongoing international engagements and domestic reforms like green energy shifts. No verified reports of resignation, party fractures, or leadership challenges have emerged in the past month, reinforcing his unchallenged position despite regional tensions in Tigray and Amhara. Scenarios like a surprise opposition surge, major scandal, or escalation derailing the vote could shift odds, though structural incumbency advantages make these low-likelihood.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,200
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as leader of the Prosperity Party, poised to secure another parliamentary majority in Ethiopia's general election on June 1, 2026, where the House of Peoples' Representatives selects the premier. Recent parliamentary sessions featured Abiy's assurances of the "most open" polls yet, alongside active preparations by the National Election Board, amid his ongoing international engagements and domestic reforms like green energy shifts. No verified reports of resignation, party fractures, or leadership challenges have emerged in the past month, reinforcing his unchallenged position despite regional tensions in Tigray and Amhara. Scenarios like a surprise opposition surge, major scandal, or escalation derailing the vote could shift odds, though structural incumbency advantages make these low-likelihood.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,200
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Abiy Ahmed" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Berhanu Nega" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ay naka-generate ng $10.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 27, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ay "Abiy Ahmed" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Berhanu Nega" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.