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icon for James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

icon for James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

Fishback <10% 52%

Fishback 10–15% 34%

Fishback 15–20% 9%

Fishback 30%+ 2.2%

Polymarket

$104,199 Vol.

Fishback <10% 52%

Fishback 10–15% 34%

Fishback 15–20% 9%

Fishback 30%+ 2.2%

Polymarket

$104,199 Vol.

Fishback <10%

$73,678 Vol.

52%

Fishback 10–15%

$9,486 Vol.

34%

Fishback 15–20%

$4,632 Vol.

9%

Fishback 20–25%

$7,448 Vol.

2%

Fishback 25–30%

$2,811 Vol.

1%

Fishback 30%+

$6,142 Vol.

2%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$104,199
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$104,199
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Kaugnay

icon for Magiging nominado ba ng Republikano si Byron Donalds para Gobernador ng Florida?

Magiging nominado ba ng Republikano si Byron Donalds para Gobernador ng Florida?

99%
Oo
icon for Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

45%
icon for Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

82%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Fishback <10%" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Fishback 10–15%" sa 34%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?" ay naka-generate ng $104.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?" ay "Fishback <10%" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Fishback 10–15%" sa 34%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.