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icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Tom Begich 36%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%

Treg Taylor 10.0%

Polymarket

$969,034 Vol.

Tom Begich 36%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%

Treg Taylor 10.0%

Polymarket

$969,034 Vol.

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$113,876 Vol.

36%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$151,078 Vol.

25%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,098 Vol.

10%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$19,641 Vol.

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,183 Vol.

7%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$117,061 Vol.

6%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$10,638 Vol.

5%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$5,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$104,088 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$8,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$324,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$38,569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$8,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$13,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$3,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$29,431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$4,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls from Alaska Survey Research (April 16-19, 2026) and Dittman Research (April 27-30) position Democrat Tom Begich as the top-four primary leader at 19-21% for the August 18 contest, with strong ranked-choice voting simulations showing him defeating Republican Bernadette Wilson 54-46 in the November 3 general—driving his 35.5% trader consensus amid GOP vote-splitting among David Bronson, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor (all under 10%). Wilson's 24.5% reflects her second-place primary showings and pledge to exit if not the leading Republican, signaling potential consolidation. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit heightens competitiveness in this open race; June 1 filing and forums could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$969,034
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls from Alaska Survey Research (April 16-19, 2026) and Dittman Research (April 27-30) position Democrat Tom Begich as the top-four primary leader at 19-21% for the August 18 contest, with strong ranked-choice voting simulations showing him defeating Republican Bernadette Wilson 54-46 in the November 3 general—driving his 35.5% trader consensus amid GOP vote-splitting among David Bronson, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor (all under 10%). Wilson's 24.5% reflects her second-place primary showings and pledge to exit if not the leading Republican, signaling potential consolidation. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit heightens competitiveness in this open race; June 1 filing and forums could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$969,034
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tom Begich" sa 36%, sinusundan ng "Bernadette Wilson" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 36¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 36% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay naka-generate ng $969K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska ," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay "Tom Begich" sa 36%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 36% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.