Recent polling averages place Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan within a few points in Alaska's 2026 Senate contest, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins and Sullivan's incumbency advantages in a state that leans Republican. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system and August 18 top-four primary add uncertainty, as vote redistribution and potential minor candidates on the ballot could influence the general election outcome. National party investments and fundraising patterns have kept the race competitive, with trader consensus assigning near-even probabilities that mirror the absence of decisive shifts in voter surveys or campaign events over the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAlaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Vol.
$393,235 Vol.

Mary Peltola
51%

Dan Sullivan
49%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Vol.
$393,235 Vol.

Mary Peltola
51%

Dan Sullivan
49%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan within a few points in Alaska's 2026 Senate contest, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from prior statewide wins and Sullivan's incumbency advantages in a state that leans Republican. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system and August 18 top-four primary add uncertainty, as vote redistribution and potential minor candidates on the ballot could influence the general election outcome. National party investments and fundraising patterns have kept the race competitive, with trader consensus assigning near-even probabilities that mirror the absence of decisive shifts in voter surveys or campaign events over the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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