Michigan’s open Senate seat after Gary Peters’ retirement stands out as Democrats’ strongest tossup opportunity, with recent primaries and polling keeping the contest between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers near even in a state with balanced partisan leanings. Alaska follows due to Mary Peltola’s strong primary performance against incumbent Dan Sullivan under ranked-choice voting, while Maine remains competitive given Susan Collins’ history of outperforming her party and the replacement of the prior Democratic nominee with Troy Jackson. Lower probabilities for Texas, Iowa, and Ohio reflect narrower paths amid Republican incumbents or stronger structural advantages. Trader consensus reflects these factors alongside national midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment as the November election approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDems' best tossup Senate race?
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
Michigan 41%
Alaska 23%
Maine 13%
Texas 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan
41%
Alaska
23%
Maine
13%
Texas
5%
Iowa
4%
Ohio
2%
Michigan 41%
Alaska 23%
Maine 13%
Texas 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan
$1,331 Vol.
41%
Alaska
$164 Vol.
23%
Maine
$84 Vol.
13%
Texas
$84 Vol.
5%
Iowa
$84 Vol.
4%
Ohio
$102 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan’s open Senate seat after Gary Peters’ retirement stands out as Democrats’ strongest tossup opportunity, with recent primaries and polling keeping the contest between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers near even in a state with balanced partisan leanings. Alaska follows due to Mary Peltola’s strong primary performance against incumbent Dan Sullivan under ranked-choice voting, while Maine remains competitive given Susan Collins’ history of outperforming her party and the replacement of the prior Democratic nominee with Troy Jackson. Lower probabilities for Texas, Iowa, and Ohio reflect narrower paths amid Republican incumbents or stronger structural advantages. Trader consensus reflects these factors alongside national midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment as the November election approaches.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,849Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan’s open Senate seat after Gary Peters’ retirement stands out as Democrats’ strongest tossup opportunity, with recent primaries and polling keeping the contest between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers near even in a state with balanced partisan leanings. Alaska follows due to Mary Peltola’s strong primary performance against incumbent Dan Sullivan under ranked-choice voting, while Maine remains competitive given Susan Collins’ history of outperforming her party and the replacement of the prior Democratic nominee with Troy Jackson. Lower probabilities for Texas, Iowa, and Ohio reflect narrower paths amid Republican incumbents or stronger structural advantages. Trader consensus reflects these factors alongside national midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment as the November election approaches.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,849Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michigan’s open Senate seat after Gary Peters’ retirement stands out as Democrats’ strongest tossup opportunity, with recent primaries and polling keeping the contest between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers near even in a state with balanced partisan leanings. Alaska follows due to Mary Peltola’s strong primary performance against incumbent Dan Sullivan under ranked-choice voting, while Maine remains competitive given Susan Collins’ history of outperforming her party and the replacement of the prior Democratic nominee with Troy Jackson. Lower probabilities for Texas, Iowa, and Ohio reflect narrower paths amid Republican incumbents or stronger structural advantages. Trader consensus reflects these factors alongside national midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment as the November election approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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