Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential sub-1% races, centered on toss-ups in North Carolina’s open Republican seat, Maine’s Susan Collins race, Alaska’s Dan Sullivan seat, Michigan’s open Democratic seat, and Ohio’s matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent developments include Thom Tillis’s retirement creating an opening in North Carolina, Brown’s entry sharpening the Ohio contest, candidate controversies and primary volatility in Maine and Michigan, and Alaska’s August 18 primary shaping the general-election field. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment and spending, plus state-specific turnout among key voting blocs will heavily influence final margins, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger for these tight races.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan
23%
Texas
21%
Iowa
21%
Maine
19%
Ohio (Special)
18%
Alaska
18%
New Hampshire
16%
Nebraska
15%
Minnesota
11%
North Carolina
10%
Georgia
9%
Colorado
4%
Florida (Special)
4%
New Mexico
3%
Montana
3%
Virginia
2%
$0.00 Vol.
Michigan
$0 Vol.
23%
Texas
$0 Vol.
21%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
21%
Maine
$0 Vol.
19%
Ohio (Special)
$0 Vol.
18%
Alaska
$0 Vol.
18%
New Hampshire
$0 Vol.
16%
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
15%
Minnesota
$0 Vol.
11%
North Carolina
$0 Vol.
10%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
9%
Colorado
$0 Vol.
4%
Florida (Special)
$0 Vol.
4%
New Mexico
$0 Vol.
3%
Montana
$0 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$0 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential sub-1% races, centered on toss-ups in North Carolina’s open Republican seat, Maine’s Susan Collins race, Alaska’s Dan Sullivan seat, Michigan’s open Democratic seat, and Ohio’s matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent developments include Thom Tillis’s retirement creating an opening in North Carolina, Brown’s entry sharpening the Ohio contest, candidate controversies and primary volatility in Maine and Michigan, and Alaska’s August 18 primary shaping the general-election field. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment and spending, plus state-specific turnout among key voting blocs will heavily influence final margins, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger for these tight races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential sub-1% races, centered on toss-ups in North Carolina’s open Republican seat, Maine’s Susan Collins race, Alaska’s Dan Sullivan seat, Michigan’s open Democratic seat, and Ohio’s matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent developments include Thom Tillis’s retirement creating an opening in North Carolina, Brown’s entry sharpening the Ohio contest, candidate controversies and primary volatility in Maine and Michigan, and Alaska’s August 18 primary shaping the general-election field. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment and spending, plus state-specific turnout among key voting blocs will heavily influence final margins, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger for these tight races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests stand out as potential sub-1% races, centered on toss-ups in North Carolina’s open Republican seat, Maine’s Susan Collins race, Alaska’s Dan Sullivan seat, Michigan’s open Democratic seat, and Ohio’s matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent developments include Thom Tillis’s retirement creating an opening in North Carolina, Brown’s entry sharpening the Ohio contest, candidate controversies and primary volatility in Maine and Michigan, and Alaska’s August 18 primary shaping the general-election field. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment and spending, plus state-specific turnout among key voting blocs will heavily influence final margins, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger for these tight races.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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