Multiple open 2026 gubernatorial seats in politically competitive states have produced tight general-election matchups after recent primaries. In Ohio, former Rep. Vivek Ramaswamy faces former health director Amy Acton in polls showing margins of 1-3 points amid toss-up ratings. Wisconsin’s post-primary contest between David Crowley and Tom Tiffany, Georgia’s Keisha Bottoms versus Rick Jackson, and Iowa’s open race similarly register narrow polling spreads and toss-up or lean classifications from forecasters. These dynamics reflect balanced candidate recruitment, similar partisan baselines, and limited national tailwinds so far. Late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or external events could widen margins in one state and separate it from the pack before November voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlorida 16.8%
Ohio 15.3%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Georgia 11.9%
$12,215 Vol.
$12,215 Vol.
Florida
10%
Ohio
15%
Wisconsin
13%
Georgia
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
11%
Kansas
11%
Alaska
5%
Nevada
5%
New Hampshire
4%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Vermont
3%
Minnesota
3%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
2%
Maine
1%
Florida 16.8%
Ohio 15.3%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Georgia 11.9%
$12,215 Vol.
$12,215 Vol.
Florida
10%
Ohio
15%
Wisconsin
13%
Georgia
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
11%
Kansas
11%
Alaska
5%
Nevada
5%
New Hampshire
4%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Vermont
3%
Minnesota
3%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
2%
Maine
1%
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple open 2026 gubernatorial seats in politically competitive states have produced tight general-election matchups after recent primaries. In Ohio, former Rep. Vivek Ramaswamy faces former health director Amy Acton in polls showing margins of 1-3 points amid toss-up ratings. Wisconsin’s post-primary contest between David Crowley and Tom Tiffany, Georgia’s Keisha Bottoms versus Rick Jackson, and Iowa’s open race similarly register narrow polling spreads and toss-up or lean classifications from forecasters. These dynamics reflect balanced candidate recruitment, similar partisan baselines, and limited national tailwinds so far. Late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or external events could widen margins in one state and separate it from the pack before November voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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