New York’s congressional map features a Democratic baseline of 19 seats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 19–21 outcomes due to a handful of competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains. Key battlegrounds include NY-17, where Republican incumbent Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in a lean-D or toss-up contest, alongside toss-ups or lean contests in NY-4, NY-22, and NY-1 that could produce net Democratic pickups of one to three seats. Recent polling averages and handicapper shifts, including moves toward Democrats in several New York races, have reinforced expectations of limited volatility rather than large swings, while the absence of immediate redistricting changes keeps the current lines fixed. Upcoming factors such as candidate fundraising, district-level polling, and any late national momentum shifts could still separate the 19 versus 21+ possibilities in the final weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update20 36%
21+ 27%
19 25%
18 6.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 2, 2026
<16
<1%
16
1%
17
1%
18
9%
19
25%
20
36%
21+
27%
20 36%
21+ 27%
19 25%
18 6.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 2, 2026
<16
$559 Vol.
<1%
16
$374 Vol.
1%
17
$791 Vol.
1%
18
$994 Vol.
9%
19
$2,675 Vol.
25%
20
$1,259 Vol.
36%
21+
$945 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.New York’s congressional map features a Democratic baseline of 19 seats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 19–21 outcomes due to a handful of competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains. Key battlegrounds include NY-17, where Republican incumbent Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in a lean-D or toss-up contest, alongside toss-ups or lean contests in NY-4, NY-22, and NY-1 that could produce net Democratic pickups of one to three seats. Recent polling averages and handicapper shifts, including moves toward Democrats in several New York races, have reinforced expectations of limited volatility rather than large swings, while the absence of immediate redistricting changes keeps the current lines fixed. Upcoming factors such as candidate fundraising, district-level polling, and any late national momentum shifts could still separate the 19 versus 21+ possibilities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,597Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.New York’s congressional map features a Democratic baseline of 19 seats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 19–21 outcomes due to a handful of competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains. Key battlegrounds include NY-17, where Republican incumbent Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in a lean-D or toss-up contest, alongside toss-ups or lean contests in NY-4, NY-22, and NY-1 that could produce net Democratic pickups of one to three seats. Recent polling averages and handicapper shifts, including moves toward Democrats in several New York races, have reinforced expectations of limited volatility rather than large swings, while the absence of immediate redistricting changes keeps the current lines fixed. Upcoming factors such as candidate fundraising, district-level polling, and any late national momentum shifts could still separate the 19 versus 21+ possibilities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,597Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New York’s congressional map features a Democratic baseline of 19 seats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 19–21 outcomes due to a handful of competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains. Key battlegrounds include NY-17, where Republican incumbent Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in a lean-D or toss-up contest, alongside toss-ups or lean contests in NY-4, NY-22, and NY-1 that could produce net Democratic pickups of one to three seats. Recent polling averages and handicapper shifts, including moves toward Democrats in several New York races, have reinforced expectations of limited volatility rather than large swings, while the absence of immediate redistricting changes keeps the current lines fixed. Upcoming factors such as candidate fundraising, district-level polling, and any late national momentum shifts could still separate the 19 versus 21+ possibilities in the final weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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