Recent diplomatic exchanges, including a September 8 phone call between the leaders and U.S. envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have centered on Ukraine peace proposals without confirming any in-person bilateral. Kremlin statements noted discussion of a possible trilateral format with Xi Jinping at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, aligning with trader consensus favoring China at 56 percent as the implied probability for the next venue. The 33.5 percent chance of no meeting by year-end reflects stalled progress and lack of scheduled dates, while lower probabilities for the United States or other sites track the absence of announced U.S.-hosted plans or alternatives. Ongoing envoy-level talks and APEC timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateChina 56%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.5%
$1,112,412 Vol.
$1,112,412 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
4%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
2%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Japan
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.5%
$1,112,412 Vol.
$1,112,412 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
4%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
2%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Japan
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic exchanges, including a September 8 phone call between the leaders and U.S. envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have centered on Ukraine peace proposals without confirming any in-person bilateral. Kremlin statements noted discussion of a possible trilateral format with Xi Jinping at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, aligning with trader consensus favoring China at 56 percent as the implied probability for the next venue. The 33.5 percent chance of no meeting by year-end reflects stalled progress and lack of scheduled dates, while lower probabilities for the United States or other sites track the absence of announced U.S.-hosted plans or alternatives. Ongoing envoy-level talks and APEC timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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