Russia's personalized autocracy under President Vladimir Putin has sustained high regime stability through mid-2026, with centralized control over security services, the military command, and key elites despite strains from the Ukraine conflict. Heightened protective measures by the Federal Protective Service, including expanded surveillance and bunker operations prompted by March 2026 intelligence concerns, reflected internal vigilance following earlier unrest like the 2023 Wagner events, yet produced no verified elite fractures or organized plotting. Slight dips in approval ratings and isolated military blogger criticism have not translated into actionable challenges. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt on this sustained institutional dominance and lack of recent catalysts capable of shifting power dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update7% tsansa
$118,347 Vol.
$118,347 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% tsansa
$118,347 Vol.
$118,347 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's personalized autocracy under President Vladimir Putin has sustained high regime stability through mid-2026, with centralized control over security services, the military command, and key elites despite strains from the Ukraine conflict. Heightened protective measures by the Federal Protective Service, including expanded surveillance and bunker operations prompted by March 2026 intelligence concerns, reflected internal vigilance following earlier unrest like the 2023 Wagner events, yet produced no verified elite fractures or organized plotting. Slight dips in approval ratings and isolated military blogger criticism have not translated into actionable challenges. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt on this sustained institutional dominance and lack of recent catalysts capable of shifting power dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$118,347Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's personalized autocracy under President Vladimir Putin has sustained high regime stability through mid-2026, with centralized control over security services, the military command, and key elites despite strains from the Ukraine conflict. Heightened protective measures by the Federal Protective Service, including expanded surveillance and bunker operations prompted by March 2026 intelligence concerns, reflected internal vigilance following earlier unrest like the 2023 Wagner events, yet produced no verified elite fractures or organized plotting. Slight dips in approval ratings and isolated military blogger criticism have not translated into actionable challenges. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt on this sustained institutional dominance and lack of recent catalysts capable of shifting power dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$118,347Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's personalized autocracy under President Vladimir Putin has sustained high regime stability through mid-2026, with centralized control over security services, the military command, and key elites despite strains from the Ukraine conflict. Heightened protective measures by the Federal Protective Service, including expanded surveillance and bunker operations prompted by March 2026 intelligence concerns, reflected internal vigilance following earlier unrest like the 2023 Wagner events, yet produced no verified elite fractures or organized plotting. Slight dips in approval ratings and isolated military blogger criticism have not translated into actionable challenges. Traders price the low probability of a 2026 coup attempt on this sustained institutional dominance and lack of recent catalysts capable of shifting power dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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