New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia remain the leading contenders for third place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election, with recent state-affiliated polling showing New People occasionally edging ahead of both the LDPR and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation on party-list support. Divergent results between telephone and in-person surveys, combined with New People’s incremental gains on issues such as online access and tax policy, have kept the race fluid. Established regional networks favor the LDPR, while the Communists have shown relative weakness in recent cycles. Kremlin-managed electoral processes, including candidate registration and administrative mobilization, add further uncertainty to final rankings. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted regional voting, or adjustments in official support could still widen the gap among the three parties before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNew People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 11%
Yabloko 1.4%
$56,921 Vol.
$56,921 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
11%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
32%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 11%
Yabloko 1.4%
$56,921 Vol.
$56,921 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
11%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
32%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia remain the leading contenders for third place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election, with recent state-affiliated polling showing New People occasionally edging ahead of both the LDPR and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation on party-list support. Divergent results between telephone and in-person surveys, combined with New People’s incremental gains on issues such as online access and tax policy, have kept the race fluid. Established regional networks favor the LDPR, while the Communists have shown relative weakness in recent cycles. Kremlin-managed electoral processes, including candidate registration and administrative mobilization, add further uncertainty to final rankings. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted regional voting, or adjustments in official support could still widen the gap among the three parties before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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