New People leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to consistent polling gains in recent VCIOM surveys, where the party has registered double-digit support and positioned itself as the freshest systemic alternative among registered lists. LDPR follows closely on the strength of its established nationalist base and regional structures, while KPRF trails amid softer recent readings and organizational challenges. With all three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens in available aggregates and United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, small shifts in turnout, campaign visibility, or administrative signaling ahead of the vote could reorder the finish. The market reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation observed in the final weeks before ballots open.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNew People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,433 Vol.
$55,433 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,433 Vol.
$55,433 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New People leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to consistent polling gains in recent VCIOM surveys, where the party has registered double-digit support and positioned itself as the freshest systemic alternative among registered lists. LDPR follows closely on the strength of its established nationalist base and regional structures, while KPRF trails amid softer recent readings and organizational challenges. With all three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens in available aggregates and United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, small shifts in turnout, campaign visibility, or administrative signaling ahead of the vote could reorder the finish. The market reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation observed in the final weeks before ballots open.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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