Lula holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Pará's presidential first round due to repeated state-level polling showing him ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with support in the 38-49% range across recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, established voter bases in northern states, and the absence of competitive alternatives among registered candidates reinforce this outlook ahead of the October 4 vote. Other names, including Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register far lower single-digit or negligible shares. Shifts could still occur from last-minute campaign developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or unexpected consolidation behind a single opponent, though current evidence points to limited pathways for overtaking the frontrunner.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLula 91%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$19,874 Vol.
$19,874 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
91%
Flavio Bolsonaro
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 91%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$19,874 Vol.
$19,874 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$10,466 Vol.
91%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,234 Vol.
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$668 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$690 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$663 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$862 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$648 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$560 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$703 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$989 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Pará's presidential first round due to repeated state-level polling showing him ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with support in the 38-49% range across recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, established voter bases in northern states, and the absence of competitive alternatives among registered candidates reinforce this outlook ahead of the October 4 vote. Other names, including Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register far lower single-digit or negligible shares. Shifts could still occur from last-minute campaign developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or unexpected consolidation behind a single opponent, though current evidence points to limited pathways for overtaking the frontrunner.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$19,874Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Pará's presidential first round due to repeated state-level polling showing him ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with support in the 38-49% range across recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, established voter bases in northern states, and the absence of competitive alternatives among registered candidates reinforce this outlook ahead of the October 4 vote. Other names, including Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register far lower single-digit or negligible shares. Shifts could still occur from last-minute campaign developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or unexpected consolidation behind a single opponent, though current evidence points to limited pathways for overtaking the frontrunner.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$19,874Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Pará's presidential first round due to repeated state-level polling showing him ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with support in the 38-49% range across recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, established voter bases in northern states, and the absence of competitive alternatives among registered candidates reinforce this outlook ahead of the October 4 vote. Other names, including Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register far lower single-digit or negligible shares. Shifts could still occur from last-minute campaign developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or unexpected consolidation behind a single opponent, though current evidence points to limited pathways for overtaking the frontrunner.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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