Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state’s strong historical preference for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarista positions on security, agriculture, and federal spending. His July 2026 party nomination and recent campaign launch have reinforced this positioning among northern voters, where his father previously dominated. Incumbent President Lula trails far behind despite national polling leads, as Roraima’s electorate has shown limited support for PT policies. Minor candidates including Pablo Marçal register secondary but distant probabilities, constrained by limited regional organization and name recognition. No major late developments have altered these state-specific dynamics ahead of the vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlavio Bolsonaro 92%
Samara 18.3%
Zema 18.3%
Renan Santos 11.3%

Flavio Bolsonaro
79%

Samara
18%

Zema
18%

Renan Santos
11%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
3%

Pablo Marçal
2%

Lula
15%

Escritor Augusto Cury
2%

Hertz Dias
2%

Clariana Barao
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Edmilson Costa
9%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 92%
Samara 18.3%
Zema 18.3%
Renan Santos 11.3%

Flavio Bolsonaro
79%

Samara
18%

Zema
18%

Renan Santos
11%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
3%

Pablo Marçal
2%

Lula
15%

Escritor Augusto Cury
2%

Hertz Dias
2%

Clariana Barao
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Edmilson Costa
9%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state’s strong historical preference for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarista positions on security, agriculture, and federal spending. His July 2026 party nomination and recent campaign launch have reinforced this positioning among northern voters, where his father previously dominated. Incumbent President Lula trails far behind despite national polling leads, as Roraima’s electorate has shown limited support for PT policies. Minor candidates including Pablo Marçal register secondary but distant probabilities, constrained by limited regional organization and name recognition. No major late developments have altered these state-specific dynamics ahead of the vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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