Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLula 93%
Rui Costa Pimenta 4.0%
Escritor Augusto Cury 4.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
93%
Rui Costa Pimenta
4%
Escritor Augusto Cury
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Pablo Marçal
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
3%
Edmilson Costa
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
3%
Clariana Barao
3%
Zema
3%
Hertz Dias
3%
Samara
1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 93%
Rui Costa Pimenta 4.0%
Escritor Augusto Cury 4.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$402 Vol.
93%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$142 Vol.
4%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$131 Vol.
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
$142 Vol.
4%
Pablo Marçal
$142 Vol.
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$131 Vol.
3%
Edmilson Costa
$142 Vol.
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$142 Vol.
3%
Clariana Barao
$131 Vol.
3%
Zema
$142 Vol.
3%
Hertz Dias
$142 Vol.
3%
Samara
$97 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$97 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$1,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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