Sergio Moro (PL) maintains a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 20+ points in late September surveys, with AtlasIntel showing 49.1% and Paraná Pesquisas at 44.7% in the first round. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate, positioning Sandro Alex (PSD) as the continuity candidate and Requião Filho (PDT) as the main opposition contender. Recent campaign activity, including Moro's regional caravans and hospital visits, alongside legal disputes over privatization-related ads, has not shifted the implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with other registered candidates polling below 1%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSergio Moro 84%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.4%
Rafael Greca <1%
$183,056 Vol.
$183,056 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
84%
Sandro Alex
16%
Requião Filho
2%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Alexandre Curi
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Sergio Moro 84%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.4%
Rafael Greca <1%
$183,056 Vol.
$183,056 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
$120,604 Vol.
84%
Sandro Alex
$17,236 Vol.
16%
Requião Filho
$21,505 Vol.
2%
Rafael Greca
$3,403 Vol.
<1%
Guto Silva
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Curi
$5,452 Vol.
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,625 Vol.
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 Vol.
<1%
Luiz França
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) maintains a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 20+ points in late September surveys, with AtlasIntel showing 49.1% and Paraná Pesquisas at 44.7% in the first round. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate, positioning Sandro Alex (PSD) as the continuity candidate and Requião Filho (PDT) as the main opposition contender. Recent campaign activity, including Moro's regional caravans and hospital visits, alongside legal disputes over privatization-related ads, has not shifted the implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with other registered candidates polling below 1%.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$183,056Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) maintains a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 20+ points in late September surveys, with AtlasIntel showing 49.1% and Paraná Pesquisas at 44.7% in the first round. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate, positioning Sandro Alex (PSD) as the continuity candidate and Requião Filho (PDT) as the main opposition contender. Recent campaign activity, including Moro's regional caravans and hospital visits, alongside legal disputes over privatization-related ads, has not shifted the implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with other registered candidates polling below 1%.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$183,056Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro (PL) maintains a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 20+ points in late September surveys, with AtlasIntel showing 49.1% and Paraná Pesquisas at 44.7% in the first round. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate, positioning Sandro Alex (PSD) as the continuity candidate and Requião Filho (PDT) as the main opposition contender. Recent campaign activity, including Moro's regional caravans and hospital visits, alongside legal disputes over privatization-related ads, has not shifted the implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with other registered candidates polling below 1%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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