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Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Paraná Governor Election Winner

icon for Paraná Governor Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro 83%

Alexandre Curi 5.0%

Enio Verri 3.0%

Rafael Greca 2.9%

Polymarket

$37,439 Vol.

Sergio Moro 83%

Alexandre Curi 5.0%

Enio Verri 3.0%

Rafael Greca 2.9%

Polymarket

$37,439 Vol.

Sergio Moro

$29,720 Vol.

83%

Alexandre Curi

$452 Vol.

5%

Enio Verri

$309 Vol.

3%

Rafael Greca

$352 Vol.

3%

Requião Filho

$5,417 Vol.

2%

Guto Silva

$647 Vol.

2%

Luiz França

$172 Vol.

1%

Beto Richa

$371 Vol.

1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent leads in multiple state polls conducted between April and July 2026, where he registers 35-54% support in stimulated scenarios, often more than 20 points ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho. The PL party's formalization of his candidacy on August 1 further consolidated backing from established political networks. Traders reflect this momentum in the current consensus, pricing Moro as the clear frontrunner while assigning low single-digit probabilities to other declared or speculated contenders like Alexandre Curi and Rafael Greca. Upcoming convention alignments and any shifts in voter intention surveys before October could still influence final positioning.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,439
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent leads in multiple state polls conducted between April and July 2026, where he registers 35-54% support in stimulated scenarios, often more than 20 points ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho. The PL party's formalization of his candidacy on August 1 further consolidated backing from established political networks. Traders reflect this momentum in the current consensus, pricing Moro as the clear frontrunner while assigning low single-digit probabilities to other declared or speculated contenders like Alexandre Curi and Rafael Greca. Upcoming convention alignments and any shifts in voter intention surveys before October could still influence final positioning.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,439
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Paraná Governor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sergio Moro" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "Alexandre Curi" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Paraná Governor Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $37.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Paraná Governor Election Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Paraná Governor Election Winner" ay "Sergio Moro" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alexandre Curi" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Paraná Governor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.