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Politika·Mexico

Baja California Governor Election Winner

icon for Baja California Governor Election Winner
Politika·Mexico

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Gustavo Macalpin 40%

Ana Daniela García Salgado 39%

Gina Cruz Blackledge 38%

Víctor Galicia 37%

Polymarket
BAGO

Gustavo Macalpin 40%

Ana Daniela García Salgado 39%

Gina Cruz Blackledge 38%

Víctor Galicia 37%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Gustavo Macalpin

Gustavo Macalpin

$61 Vol.

40%

icon for Ana Daniela García Salgado

Ana Daniela García Salgado

$61 Vol.

39%

icon for Gina Cruz Blackledge

Gina Cruz Blackledge

$61 Vol.

38%

icon for Víctor Galicia

Víctor Galicia

$61 Vol.

37%

icon for Julieta Ramírez Padilla

Julieta Ramírez Padilla

$61 Vol.

37%

icon for Karla Ruiz Macfarland

Karla Ruiz Macfarland

$61 Vol.

35%

icon for Armando Ayala Robles

Armando Ayala Robles

$61 Vol.

33%

icon for Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

$61 Vol.

33%

icon for Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

$61 Vol.

33%

icon for Fernando Castro Trenti

Fernando Castro Trenti

$61 Vol.

32%

icon for Jorge Ramos Hernández

Jorge Ramos Hernández

$61 Vol.

32%

icon for Daylín García Ruvalcaba

Daylín García Ruvalcaba

$61 Vol.

32%

icon for Juan Carlos Hank

Juan Carlos Hank

$61 Vol.

32%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

$61 Vol.

32%

icon for Héctor Osuna Jaime

Héctor Osuna Jaime

$61 Vol.

30%

icon for Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

$61 Vol.

30%

icon for Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

$61 Vol.

29%

icon for Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

$61 Vol.

29%

icon for Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

$61 Vol.

31%

icon for Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

$61 Vol.

33%

icon for Evangelina Moreno Guerra

Evangelina Moreno Guerra

$61 Vol.

32%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The early stage of Baja California's 2027 gubernatorial race, with party nominations still months away, sustains dispersed trader probabilities across more than two dozen contenders. Internal Morena surveys from mid-2026 have highlighted frontrunners such as Ismael Burgueño Ruiz and Montserrat Caballero Ramírez, yet the party's selection process and broader field—including opposition figures like Gina Cruz Blackledge and Julieta Ramírez Padilla—remain fluid. Historical patterns of strong Morena performance in the state contrast with ongoing coalition negotiations and potential primary challenges that could shift momentum. Upcoming candidate forums, survey releases, and alliance announcements through late 2026 offer the clearest near-term catalysts capable of consolidating support and separating outcomes in this multi-candidate contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,281
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 6, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The early stage of Baja California's 2027 gubernatorial race, with party nominations still months away, sustains dispersed trader probabilities across more than two dozen contenders. Internal Morena surveys from mid-2026 have highlighted frontrunners such as Ismael Burgueño Ruiz and Montserrat Caballero Ramírez, yet the party's selection process and broader field—including opposition figures like Gina Cruz Blackledge and Julieta Ramírez Padilla—remain fluid. Historical patterns of strong Morena performance in the state contrast with ongoing coalition negotiations and potential primary challenges that could shift momentum. Upcoming candidate forums, survey releases, and alliance announcements through late 2026 offer the clearest near-term catalysts capable of consolidating support and separating outcomes in this multi-candidate contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,281
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 6, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?

Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?

41%
icon for Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

38%
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Will Heriberto Aguilar Castillo win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Baja California Governor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Gustavo Macalpin" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Ana Daniela García Salgado" sa 39%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Baja California Governor Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 5, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Baja California Governor Election Winner," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Baja California Governor Election Winner" ay "Gustavo Macalpin" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ana Daniela García Salgado" sa 39%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Baja California Governor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.