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Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden

icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden
Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 14%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,298,774 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 14%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,298,774 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$318,449 Vol.

86%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$251,919 Vol.

14%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,495,100 Vol.

1%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$431,459 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$976,715 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$99,593 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$105,930 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$151,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$304,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$163,783 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 general election shows the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right-wing coalition, though the margin has narrowed to roughly 5 points in late August surveys.** This sustained advantage in bloc support underpins trader consensus around Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister. Andersson’s party remains the largest single force, and preferred-prime-minister measures have consistently placed her well ahead of Kristersson. The campaign has centered on cost-of-living pressures, crime, immigration, security, and energy, with no major late shifts reported that would reverse the opposition’s position. Low probabilities for other figures, including Sweden Democrats leader Jimmie Åkesson, reflect expectations that any government change would install Andersson rather than alter the established coalition dynamics on either side.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,298,774
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 general election shows the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right-wing coalition, though the margin has narrowed to roughly 5 points in late August surveys.** This sustained advantage in bloc support underpins trader consensus around Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister. Andersson’s party remains the largest single force, and preferred-prime-minister measures have consistently placed her well ahead of Kristersson. The campaign has centered on cost-of-living pressures, crime, immigration, security, and energy, with no major late shifts reported that would reverse the opposition’s position. Low probabilities for other figures, including Sweden Democrats leader Jimmie Åkesson, reflect expectations that any government change would install Andersson rather than alter the established coalition dynamics on either side.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,298,774
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

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Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

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Mananalo ba ng pinakamaraming puwesto ang Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) sa halalang parlyamentaryo ng Sweden sa 2026?

99%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Magdalena Andersson" sa 86%, sinusundan ng "Ulf Kristersson" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 86¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden" ay naka-generate ng $4.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden" ay "Magdalena Andersson" sa 86%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ulf Kristersson" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Sweden" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.