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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Mundo·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Mundo·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.6%

Polymarket

$278,910 Vol.

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.6%

Polymarket

$278,910 Vol.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,564 Vol.

40%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$61,814 Vol.

32%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,727 Vol.

18%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,817 Vol.

7%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$6,741 Vol.

5%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 Vol.

3%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,037 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 Vol.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,135 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Genial/Quaest polling from May 8-11 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 33%, with governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado tied at 4%—ahead of outsider Renan Santos at 2%—driving trader consensus toward Zema as the slim favorite for third place amid a fragmented right-wing field beyond the Bolsonaro orbit. Zema's slight uptick from 3% last month stems from his sharpened anti-Supreme Court rhetoric, while Caiado dipped after his PSD pre-candidacy announcement and Santos holds steady but low due to limited recognition. The race stays tight within margins of error and amid 15% undecideds/blanks, but upcoming Datafolha results today, party conventions, or regional endorsements could separate contenders before the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$278,910
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Genial/Quaest polling from May 8-11 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 33%, with governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado tied at 4%—ahead of outsider Renan Santos at 2%—driving trader consensus toward Zema as the slim favorite for third place amid a fragmented right-wing field beyond the Bolsonaro orbit. Zema's slight uptick from 3% last month stems from his sharpened anti-Supreme Court rhetoric, while Caiado dipped after his PSD pre-candidacy announcement and Santos holds steady but low due to limited recognition. The race stays tight within margins of error and amid 15% undecideds/blanks, but upcoming Datafolha results today, party conventions, or regional endorsements could separate contenders before the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$278,910
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Romeu Zema" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Renan Santos" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay naka-generate ng $278.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 11, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay "Romeu Zema" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Renan Santos" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.