Recent IPCA readings, including a 4.72% year-over-year rate in May 2026 and 4.6% in June, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 5.00-5.49% band for full-year 2026 inflation, as sticky food, services, and energy components have offset base effects and kept the gauge above the Central Bank of Brazil’s 4.5% upper tolerance limit. Market-implied odds reflect persistent above-target prints and modest upward revisions in Focus survey expectations, even as the BCB continues gradual Selic reductions to 14.00-14.25%. With August and September data releases plus the next Copom decisions ahead, traders are pricing limited further deceleration by year-end given fiscal pressures and global commodity risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update5.00-5.49% 56.1%
5.50-5.99% 23.5%
4.50-4.99% 17.3%
3.50-3.99% 1.8%
$93,872 Vol.
$93,872 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
1%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
2%
4.00-4.49%
2%
4.50-4.99%
17%
5.00-5.49%
56%
5.50-5.99%
24%
6.00-6.49%
1%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
1%
5.00-5.49% 56.1%
5.50-5.99% 23.5%
4.50-4.99% 17.3%
3.50-3.99% 1.8%
$93,872 Vol.
$93,872 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$5,702 Vol.
1%
3.00-3.49%
$5,762 Vol.
1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,165 Vol.
2%
4.00-4.49%
$13,534 Vol.
2%
4.50-4.99%
$15,117 Vol.
17%
5.00-5.49%
$13,419 Vol.
56%
5.50-5.99%
$9,303 Vol.
24%
6.00-6.49%
$6,461 Vol.
1%
6.50-6.99%
$6,635 Vol.
<1%
7.00%+
$4,775 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent IPCA readings, including a 4.72% year-over-year rate in May 2026 and 4.6% in June, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 5.00-5.49% band for full-year 2026 inflation, as sticky food, services, and energy components have offset base effects and kept the gauge above the Central Bank of Brazil’s 4.5% upper tolerance limit. Market-implied odds reflect persistent above-target prints and modest upward revisions in Focus survey expectations, even as the BCB continues gradual Selic reductions to 14.00-14.25%. With August and September data releases plus the next Copom decisions ahead, traders are pricing limited further deceleration by year-end given fiscal pressures and global commodity risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$93,872Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent IPCA readings, including a 4.72% year-over-year rate in May 2026 and 4.6% in June, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 5.00-5.49% band for full-year 2026 inflation, as sticky food, services, and energy components have offset base effects and kept the gauge above the Central Bank of Brazil’s 4.5% upper tolerance limit. Market-implied odds reflect persistent above-target prints and modest upward revisions in Focus survey expectations, even as the BCB continues gradual Selic reductions to 14.00-14.25%. With August and September data releases plus the next Copom decisions ahead, traders are pricing limited further deceleration by year-end given fiscal pressures and global commodity risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$93,872Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent IPCA readings, including a 4.72% year-over-year rate in May 2026 and 4.6% in June, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 5.00-5.49% band for full-year 2026 inflation, as sticky food, services, and energy components have offset base effects and kept the gauge above the Central Bank of Brazil’s 4.5% upper tolerance limit. Market-implied odds reflect persistent above-target prints and modest upward revisions in Focus survey expectations, even as the BCB continues gradual Selic reductions to 14.00-14.25%. With August and September data releases plus the next Copom decisions ahead, traders are pricing limited further deceleration by year-end given fiscal pressures and global commodity risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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