Recent monthly readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.70% YoY in June 2026 from 1.80% in May, the softest pace since 2022, after earlier prints near 2.4%. This cooling, combined with the Bank of Japan’s July downward revision of its fiscal-2026 core-core forecast to 2.5% from 2.6%, underpins the tight 53.5% market-implied odds on a 2.0-2.4% full-year outcome versus 46.5% for ≤1.9%. Traders weigh sustained wage-driven cost pass-through and yen weakness against fading energy-price effects and softer global demand, with upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s next outlook serving as key swing factors for the calendar-year average.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
4.0%+ 1.1%
$36,295 Vol.
$36,295 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
4.0%+ 1.1%
$36,295 Vol.
$36,295 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.70% YoY in June 2026 from 1.80% in May, the softest pace since 2022, after earlier prints near 2.4%. This cooling, combined with the Bank of Japan’s July downward revision of its fiscal-2026 core-core forecast to 2.5% from 2.6%, underpins the tight 53.5% market-implied odds on a 2.0-2.4% full-year outcome versus 46.5% for ≤1.9%. Traders weigh sustained wage-driven cost pass-through and yen weakness against fading energy-price effects and softer global demand, with upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s next outlook serving as key swing factors for the calendar-year average.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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