Recent moderation in Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) to 1.7% in June 2026, driven by government energy subsidies and softer food prices, has tempered near-term readings while underlying service and wage-driven pressures persist. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 hover near 2.2%, with the tight labor market and ongoing pass-through of prior cost increases supporting a modest rebound in the second half. This dynamic leaves the full-year 2026 outcome evenly balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets, as traders weigh subsidy effects against sticky domestic demand inflation and potential yen or energy volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
4.0%+ 4.9%
2.5-2.9% 4.0%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
4%
3.0-3.4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%+
5%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
4.0%+ 4.9%
2.5-2.9% 4.0%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
4%
3.0-3.4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%+
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) to 1.7% in June 2026, driven by government energy subsidies and softer food prices, has tempered near-term readings while underlying service and wage-driven pressures persist. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 hover near 2.2%, with the tight labor market and ongoing pass-through of prior cost increases supporting a modest rebound in the second half. This dynamic leaves the full-year 2026 outcome evenly balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets, as traders weigh subsidy effects against sticky domestic demand inflation and potential yen or energy volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong