Market-implied odds for the Fed’s July–October decisions show “Other” at 54.5% and Pause–Pause–Pause at 37%, reflecting trader consensus that the central bank will maintain the current policy rate through at least three meetings amid sticky inflation and resilient labor-market data. Recent June and July CPI prints above the 2% target, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and contained unemployment, have reinforced expectations that the FOMC will prioritize price stability over near-term easing. Forward-looking factors include the September dot plot and upcoming August employment and inflation releases, which could shift probabilities if growth slows sharply or disinflation accelerates faster than anticipated.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOther 55%
Pause–Pause–Pause 37%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%
$664,214 Vol.
$664,214 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
37%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
55%
Other 55%
Pause–Pause–Pause 37%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.0%
$664,214 Vol.
$664,214 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$224,173 Vol.
37%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$51,057 Vol.
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$31,933 Vol.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$23,467 Vol.
1%
Other
$290,097 Vol.
55%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for the Fed’s July–October decisions show “Other” at 54.5% and Pause–Pause–Pause at 37%, reflecting trader consensus that the central bank will maintain the current policy rate through at least three meetings amid sticky inflation and resilient labor-market data. Recent June and July CPI prints above the 2% target, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and contained unemployment, have reinforced expectations that the FOMC will prioritize price stability over near-term easing. Forward-looking factors include the September dot plot and upcoming August employment and inflation releases, which could shift probabilities if growth slows sharply or disinflation accelerates faster than anticipated.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volume
$664,214Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for the Fed’s July–October decisions show “Other” at 54.5% and Pause–Pause–Pause at 37%, reflecting trader consensus that the central bank will maintain the current policy rate through at least three meetings amid sticky inflation and resilient labor-market data. Recent June and July CPI prints above the 2% target, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and contained unemployment, have reinforced expectations that the FOMC will prioritize price stability over near-term easing. Forward-looking factors include the September dot plot and upcoming August employment and inflation releases, which could shift probabilities if growth slows sharply or disinflation accelerates faster than anticipated.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$664,214Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for the Fed’s July–October decisions show “Other” at 54.5% and Pause–Pause–Pause at 37%, reflecting trader consensus that the central bank will maintain the current policy rate through at least three meetings amid sticky inflation and resilient labor-market data. Recent June and July CPI prints above the 2% target, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and contained unemployment, have reinforced expectations that the FOMC will prioritize price stability over near-term easing. Forward-looking factors include the September dot plot and upcoming August employment and inflation releases, which could shift probabilities if growth slows sharply or disinflation accelerates faster than anticipated.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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