Recent FOMC actions have anchored trader sentiment around the federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75 percent. The June and July meetings both resulted in holds—the latter by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike—amid headline CPI easing to 3.4 percent year-over-year in July from 3.5 percent in June and core at 2.5 percent. Softening labor data, including a July nonfarm payrolls decline of 23,000 and unemployment at 4.1 percent, have tempered cut expectations while elevated inflation above the 2 percent goal supports the pause–pause–pause path priced at 67 percent implied probability ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause 67%
Other 34%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.1%
$719,371 Vol.
$719,371 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
67%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
34%
Pause–Pause–Pause 67%
Other 34%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.1%
$719,371 Vol.
$719,371 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$286,634 Vol.
67%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$67,395 Vol.
1%
Other
$309,466 Vol.
34%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC actions have anchored trader sentiment around the federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75 percent. The June and July meetings both resulted in holds—the latter by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike—amid headline CPI easing to 3.4 percent year-over-year in July from 3.5 percent in June and core at 2.5 percent. Softening labor data, including a July nonfarm payrolls decline of 23,000 and unemployment at 4.1 percent, have tempered cut expectations while elevated inflation above the 2 percent goal supports the pause–pause–pause path priced at 67 percent implied probability ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volume
$719,371Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC actions have anchored trader sentiment around the federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75 percent. The June and July meetings both resulted in holds—the latter by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike—amid headline CPI easing to 3.4 percent year-over-year in July from 3.5 percent in June and core at 2.5 percent. Softening labor data, including a July nonfarm payrolls decline of 23,000 and unemployment at 4.1 percent, have tempered cut expectations while elevated inflation above the 2 percent goal supports the pause–pause–pause path priced at 67 percent implied probability ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$719,371Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC actions have anchored trader sentiment around the federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75 percent. The June and July meetings both resulted in holds—the latter by a 9-3 vote with three members dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike—amid headline CPI easing to 3.4 percent year-over-year in July from 3.5 percent in June and core at 2.5 percent. Softening labor data, including a July nonfarm payrolls decline of 23,000 and unemployment at 4.1 percent, have tempered cut expectations while elevated inflation above the 2 percent goal supports the pause–pause–pause path priced at 67 percent implied probability ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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