Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, with the Senate confirming President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13 by a 54-45 vote, including one Democratic crossover. Powell confirmed on April 29 he will step aside as chair but remain on the Fed Board of Governors through 2028, amid tensions over central bank independence and prior legal probes. This smooth transition reflects standard four-year chair terms, with no indications of early departure; Warsh assumes the role immediately post-expiration, potentially signaling policy shifts on interest rates and balance sheet reduction. Traders should watch Warsh's inaugural FOMC meeting for initial signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$81,057 Vol.
May 16
87%
May 15
16%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
$81,057 Vol.
May 16
87%
May 15
16%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, with the Senate confirming President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13 by a 54-45 vote, including one Democratic crossover. Powell confirmed on April 29 he will step aside as chair but remain on the Fed Board of Governors through 2028, amid tensions over central bank independence and prior legal probes. This smooth transition reflects standard four-year chair terms, with no indications of early departure; Warsh assumes the role immediately post-expiration, potentially signaling policy shifts on interest rates and balance sheet reduction. Traders should watch Warsh's inaugural FOMC meeting for initial signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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