Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
55% tsansa
$7,325,810 Vol.
$7,325,810 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
Oo
55% tsansa
$7,325,810 Vol.
$7,325,810 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$7,325,810Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,326,018Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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