Resurgent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, driven by energy price pressures and supply shocks, has shifted market-implied odds for a 2026 federal funds rate hike to 54.5% on Polymarket. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through July amid divided votes, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase, while recent dot-plot projections showed a median endpoint near 3.75%-4.00%. Solid GDP growth and resilient labor markets contrast with softer payrolls, creating balanced trader sentiment backed by real capital. Upcoming July CPI data and the September FOMC meeting represent key swing factors that could alter the path for monetary policy expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
55% tsansa
$7,326,018 Vol.
$7,326,018 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
Oo
55% tsansa
$7,326,018 Vol.
$7,326,018 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Resurgent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, driven by energy price pressures and supply shocks, has shifted market-implied odds for a 2026 federal funds rate hike to 54.5% on Polymarket. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through July amid divided votes, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase, while recent dot-plot projections showed a median endpoint near 3.75%-4.00%. Solid GDP growth and resilient labor markets contrast with softer payrolls, creating balanced trader sentiment backed by real capital. Upcoming July CPI data and the September FOMC meeting represent key swing factors that could alter the path for monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$7,326,018Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Resurgent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, driven by energy price pressures and supply shocks, has shifted market-implied odds for a 2026 federal funds rate hike to 54.5% on Polymarket. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through July amid divided votes, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase, while recent dot-plot projections showed a median endpoint near 3.75%-4.00%. Solid GDP growth and resilient labor markets contrast with softer payrolls, creating balanced trader sentiment backed by real capital. Upcoming July CPI data and the September FOMC meeting represent key swing factors that could alter the path for monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,326,718Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resurgent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, driven by energy price pressures and supply shocks, has shifted market-implied odds for a 2026 federal funds rate hike to 54.5% on Polymarket. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through July amid divided votes, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase, while recent dot-plot projections showed a median endpoint near 3.75%-4.00%. Solid GDP growth and resilient labor markets contrast with softer payrolls, creating balanced trader sentiment backed by real capital. Upcoming July CPI data and the September FOMC meeting represent key swing factors that could alter the path for monetary policy expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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