South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index climbed 2.6% year-over-year—the highest since July 2024—accelerating from 2.2% in March on elevated petroleum prices stemming from Middle East tensions. This latest release has compressed market-implied odds for full-year average inflation tightly around the 2%–3% zone, with the 2.4%–2.6% bracket holding a narrow lead at 38.8% probability, followed closely by 2.1%–2.3% at 36.3% and 2.7%–2.9% at 34.0%. Traders appear to weigh persistent energy pass-through effects against the Bank of Korea's 2% target and stable core inflation near 2.2%, while incorporating upward revisions from the IMF to 2.5%. The outcome hinges on the imminent May CPI print and the central bank's May 29 rate decision, where sustained oil prices or hawkish guidance could tilt probabilities higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.6%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
38%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
28%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.6%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Vol.
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
$108 Vol.
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Vol.
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
$145 Vol.
38%
2.7% to 2.9%
$139 Vol.
34%
3.0%+
$8,428 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index climbed 2.6% year-over-year—the highest since July 2024—accelerating from 2.2% in March on elevated petroleum prices stemming from Middle East tensions. This latest release has compressed market-implied odds for full-year average inflation tightly around the 2%–3% zone, with the 2.4%–2.6% bracket holding a narrow lead at 38.8% probability, followed closely by 2.1%–2.3% at 36.3% and 2.7%–2.9% at 34.0%. Traders appear to weigh persistent energy pass-through effects against the Bank of Korea's 2% target and stable core inflation near 2.2%, while incorporating upward revisions from the IMF to 2.5%. The outcome hinges on the imminent May CPI print and the central bank's May 29 rate decision, where sustained oil prices or hawkish guidance could tilt probabilities higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$11,072Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index climbed 2.6% year-over-year—the highest since July 2024—accelerating from 2.2% in March on elevated petroleum prices stemming from Middle East tensions. This latest release has compressed market-implied odds for full-year average inflation tightly around the 2%–3% zone, with the 2.4%–2.6% bracket holding a narrow lead at 38.8% probability, followed closely by 2.1%–2.3% at 36.3% and 2.7%–2.9% at 34.0%. Traders appear to weigh persistent energy pass-through effects against the Bank of Korea's 2% target and stable core inflation near 2.2%, while incorporating upward revisions from the IMF to 2.5%. The outcome hinges on the imminent May CPI print and the central bank's May 29 rate decision, where sustained oil prices or hawkish guidance could tilt probabilities higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$11,072Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index climbed 2.6% year-over-year—the highest since July 2024—accelerating from 2.2% in March on elevated petroleum prices stemming from Middle East tensions. This latest release has compressed market-implied odds for full-year average inflation tightly around the 2%–3% zone, with the 2.4%–2.6% bracket holding a narrow lead at 38.8% probability, followed closely by 2.1%–2.3% at 36.3% and 2.7%–2.9% at 34.0%. Traders appear to weigh persistent energy pass-through effects against the Bank of Korea's 2% target and stable core inflation near 2.2%, while incorporating upward revisions from the IMF to 2.5%. The outcome hinges on the imminent May CPI print and the central bank's May 29 rate decision, where sustained oil prices or hawkish guidance could tilt probabilities higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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