Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.6% month-over-month, easing from March's 3.4% and marking the first slowdown in 11 months despite slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5%, with annual inflation ticking down to 32.4% year-over-year. This fresh INDEC data has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity, positioning the 2.2–2.4% bin as the market-implied frontrunner at 44.5%—reflecting expectations of further cooling amid tighter monetary policy—while 3.1–3.6% outcomes at 28% each capture residual caution from elevated April inflation expectations at 34%. Central bank analysts recently revised 2026 year-end inflation to 30.5%, with May's print due mid-June as the key catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.2–2.4% 53%
≤2.1% 48%
3.1–3.3% 26%
3.7–3.9% 26%
BAGO
$46,521 Vol.
BAGO
$46,521 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
35%
2.2–2.4%
41%
2.5–2.7%
21%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
26%
3.4–3.6%
25%
3.7–3.9%
26%
4.0%+
10%
2.2–2.4% 53%
≤2.1% 48%
3.1–3.3% 26%
3.7–3.9% 26%
BAGO
$46,521 Vol.
BAGO
$46,521 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$410 Vol.
35%
2.2–2.4%
$46,046 Vol.
41%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
21%
2.8–3.0%
$3 Vol.
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
26%
3.4–3.6%
$0 Vol.
25%
3.7–3.9%
$0 Vol.
26%
4.0%+
$62 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.6% month-over-month, easing from March's 3.4% and marking the first slowdown in 11 months despite slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5%, with annual inflation ticking down to 32.4% year-over-year. This fresh INDEC data has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity, positioning the 2.2–2.4% bin as the market-implied frontrunner at 44.5%—reflecting expectations of further cooling amid tighter monetary policy—while 3.1–3.6% outcomes at 28% each capture residual caution from elevated April inflation expectations at 34%. Central bank analysts recently revised 2026 year-end inflation to 30.5%, with May's print due mid-June as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,521Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.6% month-over-month, easing from March's 3.4% and marking the first slowdown in 11 months despite slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5%, with annual inflation ticking down to 32.4% year-over-year. This fresh INDEC data has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity, positioning the 2.2–2.4% bin as the market-implied frontrunner at 44.5%—reflecting expectations of further cooling amid tighter monetary policy—while 3.1–3.6% outcomes at 28% each capture residual caution from elevated April inflation expectations at 34%. Central bank analysts recently revised 2026 year-end inflation to 30.5%, with May's print due mid-June as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,521Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.6% month-over-month, easing from March's 3.4% and marking the first slowdown in 11 months despite slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5%, with annual inflation ticking down to 32.4% year-over-year. This fresh INDEC data has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity, positioning the 2.2–2.4% bin as the market-implied frontrunner at 44.5%—reflecting expectations of further cooling amid tighter monetary policy—while 3.1–3.6% outcomes at 28% each capture residual caution from elevated April inflation expectations at 34%. Central bank analysts recently revised 2026 year-end inflation to 30.5%, with May's print due mid-June as the key catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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