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icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomiya·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomiya·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

<1.228m 40%

1.228 - 1.238m 22%

1.238 - 1.249m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

Polymarket
BAGO

<1.228m 40%

1.228 - 1.238m 22%

1.238 - 1.249m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

Polymarket
BAGO

<1.228m

$167 Vol.

27%

1.228 - 1.238m

$62 Vol.

22%

1.238 - 1.249m

$436 Vol.

22%

1.249 - 1.259m

$1,325 Vol.

19%

1.259 - 1.27m

$0 Vol.

15%

1.27 - 1.28m

$0 Vol.

7%

1.28 - 1.301m

$0 Vol.

7%

>1.301m

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,990
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,990
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "<1.228m" sa 27%, sinusundan ng "1.228 - 1.238m" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 27¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong May 4, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" ay "<1.228m" sa 27%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "1.228 - 1.238m" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.