Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
438 - 440k 17%
<432k 14%
>445k 14%
440 - 442k 13%
BAGO
BAGO
May 31, 2026
<432k
14%
432 - 434k
-
434 - 436k
37%
436 - 438k
42%
438 - 440k
17%
440 - 442k
13%
442 - 445k
-
>445k
27%
438 - 440k 17%
<432k 14%
>445k 14%
440 - 442k 13%
BAGO
BAGO
May 31, 2026
<432k
$0 Vol.
14%
432 - 434k
$78 Vol.
-
434 - 436k
$78 Vol.
37%
436 - 438k
$87 Vol.
42%
438 - 440k
$0 Vol.
17%
440 - 442k
$0 Vol.
13%
442 - 445k
$40 Vol.
-
>445k
$37 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Binuksan ang Market: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volume
$319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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