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Ekonomiya·Mga Indicator Ng Macro

How many jobs added in May?

icon for How many jobs added in May?
Ekonomiya·Mga Indicator Ng Macro

How many jobs added in May?

Jun 5

Jun 5

100k – 150k 41%

200k+ 24%

150k – 200k 23%

<0 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

100k – 150k 41%

200k+ 24%

150k – 200k 23%

<0 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

<0

$138 Vol.

18%

0 – 50k

$52 Vol.

13%

50k – 100k

$40 Vol.

17%

100k – 150k

$63 Vol.

40%

150k – 200k

$38 Vol.

23%

200k+

$38 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmApril's nonfarm payrolls rose 115,000—beating consensus estimates near 65,000 but underscoring labor market deceleration from March's revised 185,000 gain—has anchored trader consensus toward subdued May growth, with Polymarket implying a 50% probability of job losses amid rising initial jobless claims to 200,000 for the week ending May 2. Accelerating announced layoffs, per Challenger Gray data showing an 38% monthly jump to 83,000 in April driven by tech restructurings at firms like Coinbase and Cloudflare, amplify downside risks despite expansionary ISM manufacturing (52.7) and services (53.6) PMIs. Economist forecasts hover around 70,000, but skin-in-the-game traders price closely contested low buckets ahead of the June 6 Bureau of Labor Statistics release, a key Federal Open Market Committee input.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$369
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmApril's nonfarm payrolls rose 115,000—beating consensus estimates near 65,000 but underscoring labor market deceleration from March's revised 185,000 gain—has anchored trader consensus toward subdued May growth, with Polymarket implying a 50% probability of job losses amid rising initial jobless claims to 200,000 for the week ending May 2. Accelerating announced layoffs, per Challenger Gray data showing an 38% monthly jump to 83,000 in April driven by tech restructurings at firms like Coinbase and Cloudflare, amplify downside risks despite expansionary ISM manufacturing (52.7) and services (53.6) PMIs. Economist forecasts hover around 70,000, but skin-in-the-game traders price closely contested low buckets ahead of the June 6 Bureau of Labor Statistics release, a key Federal Open Market Committee input.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$369
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "How many jobs added in May?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "100k – 150k" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "200k+" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "How many jobs added in May?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong May 8, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "How many jobs added in May?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "How many jobs added in May?" ay "100k – 150k" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "200k+" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "How many jobs added in May?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.