Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June, with core returning inside Banxico’s 3% ±1% target, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 3.00–3.99% range for full-year 2026. Subdued non-core components, lower energy prices, and steady disinflation have pulled consensus forecasts from analysts and institutions like the IMF and BBVA toward 3.9–4.0%. With leading probabilities only seven points apart, markets reflect uncertainty over whether persistent service-sector pressures or potential rebound in food costs could push the annual print higher, versus further moderation aligned with Banxico’s expected convergence path by late 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.50% to 3.99% 29.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 14%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,818 Vol.
$60,818 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
23%
3.50% to 3.99%
29%
4.00% to 4.49%
14%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
7%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 29.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 14%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,818 Vol.
$60,818 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$1,053 Vol.
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,887 Vol.
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$27,423 Vol.
23%
3.50% to 3.99%
$3,469 Vol.
29%
4.00% to 4.49%
$10,637 Vol.
14%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,745 Vol.
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,299 Vol.
7%
5.50%+
$6,305 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June, with core returning inside Banxico’s 3% ±1% target, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 3.00–3.99% range for full-year 2026. Subdued non-core components, lower energy prices, and steady disinflation have pulled consensus forecasts from analysts and institutions like the IMF and BBVA toward 3.9–4.0%. With leading probabilities only seven points apart, markets reflect uncertainty over whether persistent service-sector pressures or potential rebound in food costs could push the annual print higher, versus further moderation aligned with Banxico’s expected convergence path by late 2026.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$60,818Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June, with core returning inside Banxico’s 3% ±1% target, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 3.00–3.99% range for full-year 2026. Subdued non-core components, lower energy prices, and steady disinflation have pulled consensus forecasts from analysts and institutions like the IMF and BBVA toward 3.9–4.0%. With leading probabilities only seven points apart, markets reflect uncertainty over whether persistent service-sector pressures or potential rebound in food costs could push the annual print higher, versus further moderation aligned with Banxico’s expected convergence path by late 2026.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$60,818Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June, with core returning inside Banxico’s 3% ±1% target, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 3.00–3.99% range for full-year 2026. Subdued non-core components, lower energy prices, and steady disinflation have pulled consensus forecasts from analysts and institutions like the IMF and BBVA toward 3.9–4.0%. With leading probabilities only seven points apart, markets reflect uncertainty over whether persistent service-sector pressures or potential rebound in food costs could push the annual print higher, versus further moderation aligned with Banxico’s expected convergence path by late 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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