Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 36% edging 4.00%-4.49% at 32.5%, driven by April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%—firmly bracketing the leading bins amid sticky core pressures. Banxico's recent 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.50% signals the end of its easing cycle, projecting Q4 2026 average inflation at 3.5% within its 3% target band (±1%), yet economists lifted year-end forecasts to 4.37% citing persistent services inflation and peso trading near 8.84 per dollar. Key swing factors include May CPI data (due early June) and Q2 economic releases, which could affirm disinflation or expose renewed upside risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.50% to 4.99% 54%
4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 20.6%
5.50%+ 19%
$41,172 Vol.
$41,172 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
35%
4.50% to 4.99%
36%
5.00% to 5.49%
21%
5.50%+
19%
4.50% to 4.99% 54%
4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 20.6%
5.50%+ 19%
$41,172 Vol.
$41,172 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 Vol.
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,115 Vol.
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,948 Vol.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$396 Vol.
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
$493 Vol.
35%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,532 Vol.
36%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,175 Vol.
21%
5.50%+
$5,020 Vol.
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 36% edging 4.00%-4.49% at 32.5%, driven by April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%—firmly bracketing the leading bins amid sticky core pressures. Banxico's recent 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.50% signals the end of its easing cycle, projecting Q4 2026 average inflation at 3.5% within its 3% target band (±1%), yet economists lifted year-end forecasts to 4.37% citing persistent services inflation and peso trading near 8.84 per dollar. Key swing factors include May CPI data (due early June) and Q2 economic releases, which could affirm disinflation or expose renewed upside risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$41,172Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 36% edging 4.00%-4.49% at 32.5%, driven by April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%—firmly bracketing the leading bins amid sticky core pressures. Banxico's recent 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.50% signals the end of its easing cycle, projecting Q4 2026 average inflation at 3.5% within its 3% target band (±1%), yet economists lifted year-end forecasts to 4.37% citing persistent services inflation and peso trading near 8.84 per dollar. Key swing factors include May CPI data (due early June) and Q2 economic releases, which could affirm disinflation or expose renewed upside risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$41,172Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 36% edging 4.00%-4.49% at 32.5%, driven by April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%—firmly bracketing the leading bins amid sticky core pressures. Banxico's recent 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.50% signals the end of its easing cycle, projecting Q4 2026 average inflation at 3.5% within its 3% target band (±1%), yet economists lifted year-end forecasts to 4.37% citing persistent services inflation and peso trading near 8.84 per dollar. Key swing factors include May CPI data (due early June) and Q2 economic releases, which could affirm disinflation or expose renewed upside risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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