Recent production gains in Venezuelan crude, now averaging 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in August 2026 per OPEC data, stem primarily from U.S. sanctions relief following the January 2026 political transition, regulatory reforms that cut the government's fiscal take to 20–35%, and renewed foreign investment including Chevron's multi-billion-dollar Orinoco Belt expansion. These factors have enabled higher diluent imports and joint-venture restarts, lifting output from sub-1 million barrels per day earlier in the year. However, infrastructure constraints, logistical bottlenecks, and field maintenance needs are capping the pace toward the government's 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target, with analyst forecasts clustering near 1.3 million. Key near-term variables include additional licensing approvals and capital deployment timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$185,663 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
1.2m
55%
1.3m
21%
1.4m
6%
1.5m
9%
1.7m
3%
2m
4%
$185,663 Vol.
1.2m
$11,097 Vol.
55%
1.3m
$8,010 Vol.
21%
1.4m
$19,890 Vol.
6%
1.5m
$10,621 Vol.
9%
1.7m
$59,934 Vol.
3%
2m
$16,473 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent production gains in Venezuelan crude, now averaging 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in August 2026 per OPEC data, stem primarily from U.S. sanctions relief following the January 2026 political transition, regulatory reforms that cut the government's fiscal take to 20–35%, and renewed foreign investment including Chevron's multi-billion-dollar Orinoco Belt expansion. These factors have enabled higher diluent imports and joint-venture restarts, lifting output from sub-1 million barrels per day earlier in the year. However, infrastructure constraints, logistical bottlenecks, and field maintenance needs are capping the pace toward the government's 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target, with analyst forecasts clustering near 1.3 million. Key near-term variables include additional licensing approvals and capital deployment timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$185,663Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent production gains in Venezuelan crude, now averaging 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in August 2026 per OPEC data, stem primarily from U.S. sanctions relief following the January 2026 political transition, regulatory reforms that cut the government's fiscal take to 20–35%, and renewed foreign investment including Chevron's multi-billion-dollar Orinoco Belt expansion. These factors have enabled higher diluent imports and joint-venture restarts, lifting output from sub-1 million barrels per day earlier in the year. However, infrastructure constraints, logistical bottlenecks, and field maintenance needs are capping the pace toward the government's 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target, with analyst forecasts clustering near 1.3 million. Key near-term variables include additional licensing approvals and capital deployment timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$185,663Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent production gains in Venezuelan crude, now averaging 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in August 2026 per OPEC data, stem primarily from U.S. sanctions relief following the January 2026 political transition, regulatory reforms that cut the government's fiscal take to 20–35%, and renewed foreign investment including Chevron's multi-billion-dollar Orinoco Belt expansion. These factors have enabled higher diluent imports and joint-venture restarts, lifting output from sub-1 million barrels per day earlier in the year. However, infrastructure constraints, logistical bottlenecks, and field maintenance needs are capping the pace toward the government's 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target, with analyst forecasts clustering near 1.3 million. Key near-term variables include additional licensing approvals and capital deployment timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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