Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$102,578Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,578Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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