**Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts feature two highly competitive contests that will determine whether Democrats finish with four or five seats.** Republicans currently hold six seats and Democrats three. The open AZ-1 seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic across major forecasters, with Democratic nominee Amish Shah positioned to flip the district. AZ-6 pits Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza in a race that recent polling shows as extremely close, with Mendoza holding narrow leads in several surveys conducted after the July primaries. The remaining seven districts are rated safe or likely for their current parties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats add tailwinds to the competitive Arizona races, while the short timeline to the November 3 election leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments in turnout or national conditions. Trader pricing reflects these two pivotal races as the primary drivers of the 4- and 5-seat outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update5 51%
4 21.6%
6 17%
3 5.1%
$20,413 Vol.
$20,413 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<3
<1%
3
5%
4
22%
5
51%
6
17%
7+
1%
5 51%
4 21.6%
6 17%
3 5.1%
$20,413 Vol.
$20,413 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<3
$1,284 Vol.
<1%
3
$6,317 Vol.
5%
4
$4,984 Vol.
22%
5
$4,929 Vol.
51%
6
$1,873 Vol.
17%
7+
$1,026 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts feature two highly competitive contests that will determine whether Democrats finish with four or five seats.** Republicans currently hold six seats and Democrats three. The open AZ-1 seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic across major forecasters, with Democratic nominee Amish Shah positioned to flip the district. AZ-6 pits Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza in a race that recent polling shows as extremely close, with Mendoza holding narrow leads in several surveys conducted after the July primaries. The remaining seven districts are rated safe or likely for their current parties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats add tailwinds to the competitive Arizona races, while the short timeline to the November 3 election leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments in turnout or national conditions. Trader pricing reflects these two pivotal races as the primary drivers of the 4- and 5-seat outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volume
$20,413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts feature two highly competitive contests that will determine whether Democrats finish with four or five seats.** Republicans currently hold six seats and Democrats three. The open AZ-1 seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic across major forecasters, with Democratic nominee Amish Shah positioned to flip the district. AZ-6 pits Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza in a race that recent polling shows as extremely close, with Mendoza holding narrow leads in several surveys conducted after the July primaries. The remaining seven districts are rated safe or likely for their current parties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats add tailwinds to the competitive Arizona races, while the short timeline to the November 3 election leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments in turnout or national conditions. Trader pricing reflects these two pivotal races as the primary drivers of the 4- and 5-seat outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$20,413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts feature two highly competitive contests that will determine whether Democrats finish with four or five seats.** Republicans currently hold six seats and Democrats three. The open AZ-1 seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic across major forecasters, with Democratic nominee Amish Shah positioned to flip the district. AZ-6 pits Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza in a race that recent polling shows as extremely close, with Mendoza holding narrow leads in several surveys conducted after the July primaries. The remaining seven districts are rated safe or likely for their current parties. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats add tailwinds to the competitive Arizona races, while the short timeline to the November 3 election leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments in turnout or national conditions. Trader pricing reflects these two pivotal races as the primary drivers of the 4- and 5-seat outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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