President Donald Trump, serving his second term after the 2024 election, faces limited realistic pathways to departure before 2027 despite occasional Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy actions and election-related statements in 2026. Republican majorities in Congress have blocked prior removal efforts, and Senate conviction thresholds remain high even if House control shifts after the November midterms. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged, while Trump has publicly referenced extended service timelines. Prediction market pricing at 94.5% for "No" aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or acute crises, reflecting trader assessment of institutional and political barriers through the end of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
6% tsansa
$10,908,924 Vol.
$10,908,924 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Oo
6% tsansa
$10,908,924 Vol.
$10,908,924 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump, serving his second term after the 2024 election, faces limited realistic pathways to departure before 2027 despite occasional Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy actions and election-related statements in 2026. Republican majorities in Congress have blocked prior removal efforts, and Senate conviction thresholds remain high even if House control shifts after the November midterms. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged, while Trump has publicly referenced extended service timelines. Prediction market pricing at 94.5% for "No" aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or acute crises, reflecting trader assessment of institutional and political barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,908,924Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump, serving his second term after the 2024 election, faces limited realistic pathways to departure before 2027 despite occasional Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy actions and election-related statements in 2026. Republican majorities in Congress have blocked prior removal efforts, and Senate conviction thresholds remain high even if House control shifts after the November midterms. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged, while Trump has publicly referenced extended service timelines. Prediction market pricing at 94.5% for "No" aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or acute crises, reflecting trader assessment of institutional and political barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,908,924Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump, serving his second term after the 2024 election, faces limited realistic pathways to departure before 2027 despite occasional Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy actions and election-related statements in 2026. Republican majorities in Congress have blocked prior removal efforts, and Senate conviction thresholds remain high even if House control shifts after the November midterms. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged, while Trump has publicly referenced extended service timelines. Prediction market pricing at 94.5% for "No" aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or acute crises, reflecting trader assessment of institutional and political barriers through the end of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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