Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, faces structural barriers to early departure before 2027, including the high thresholds for House impeachment followed by Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or resignation under pressure. Recent episodes, such as April 2026 bipartisan calls for removal tied to Iran policy statements and escalation threats, prompted limited articles of impeachment and 25th Amendment discussions but produced no successful votes or outcomes. Cabinet turnover and health speculation have surfaced without triggering formal processes or altering control of Congress. Prediction market pricing reflects this stability, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or confirmed incapacity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
6% tsansa
$10,953,500 Vol.
$10,953,500 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Oo
6% tsansa
$10,953,500 Vol.
$10,953,500 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, faces structural barriers to early departure before 2027, including the high thresholds for House impeachment followed by Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or resignation under pressure. Recent episodes, such as April 2026 bipartisan calls for removal tied to Iran policy statements and escalation threats, prompted limited articles of impeachment and 25th Amendment discussions but produced no successful votes or outcomes. Cabinet turnover and health speculation have surfaced without triggering formal processes or altering control of Congress. Prediction market pricing reflects this stability, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or confirmed incapacity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,953,500Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, faces structural barriers to early departure before 2027, including the high thresholds for House impeachment followed by Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or resignation under pressure. Recent episodes, such as April 2026 bipartisan calls for removal tied to Iran policy statements and escalation threats, prompted limited articles of impeachment and 25th Amendment discussions but produced no successful votes or outcomes. Cabinet turnover and health speculation have surfaced without triggering formal processes or altering control of Congress. Prediction market pricing reflects this stability, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or confirmed incapacity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,953,500Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, faces structural barriers to early departure before 2027, including the high thresholds for House impeachment followed by Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or resignation under pressure. Recent episodes, such as April 2026 bipartisan calls for removal tied to Iran policy statements and escalation threats, prompted limited articles of impeachment and 25th Amendment discussions but produced no successful votes or outcomes. Cabinet turnover and health speculation have surfaced without triggering formal processes or altering control of Congress. Prediction market pricing reflects this stability, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus or confirmed incapacity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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