United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the market for most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and control over the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents in single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including primaries that renewed roughly 25% of its Duma faction and efforts to incorporate war veterans, reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority around 300+ seats. New People has gained ground in some VTsIOM polls, reaching second place at roughly 10-13% and positioning itself as the leading systemic alternative, though FOM surveys show more modest results and established parties like the CPRF and LDPR retain stronger regional organization. Smaller parties face high barriers to clearing the 5% threshold amid limited independent polling and wartime constraints on opposition activity. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and pre-election dynamics rather than raw vote shares.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?
Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?
United Russia (ER) 68%
New People (NL) 19.4%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 5.3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1.6%
$19,610,680 Vol.
$19,610,680 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
68%
New People (NL)
19%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%
Yabloko
1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER) 68%
New People (NL) 19.4%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 5.3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1.6%
$19,610,680 Vol.
$19,610,680 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$6,874,986 Vol.
68%
New People (NL)
$2,080,203 Vol.
19%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$3,180,650 Vol.
5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$1,309,562 Vol.
2%
Yabloko
$1,095,726 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,460,186 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$2,334,305 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,275,063 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the market for most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and control over the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents in single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including primaries that renewed roughly 25% of its Duma faction and efforts to incorporate war veterans, reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority around 300+ seats. New People has gained ground in some VTsIOM polls, reaching second place at roughly 10-13% and positioning itself as the leading systemic alternative, though FOM surveys show more modest results and established parties like the CPRF and LDPR retain stronger regional organization. Smaller parties face high barriers to clearing the 5% threshold amid limited independent polling and wartime constraints on opposition activity. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and pre-election dynamics rather than raw vote shares.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$19,610,680Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the market for most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and control over the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents in single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including primaries that renewed roughly 25% of its Duma faction and efforts to incorporate war veterans, reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority around 300+ seats. New People has gained ground in some VTsIOM polls, reaching second place at roughly 10-13% and positioning itself as the leading systemic alternative, though FOM surveys show more modest results and established parties like the CPRF and LDPR retain stronger regional organization. Smaller parties face high barriers to clearing the 5% threshold amid limited independent polling and wartime constraints on opposition activity. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and pre-election dynamics rather than raw vote shares.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$19,610,680Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the market for most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, regional structures, and control over the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents in single-mandate districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including primaries that renewed roughly 25% of its Duma faction and efforts to incorporate war veterans, reinforce expectations of retaining a constitutional majority around 300+ seats. New People has gained ground in some VTsIOM polls, reaching second place at roughly 10-13% and positioning itself as the leading systemic alternative, though FOM surveys show more modest results and established parties like the CPRF and LDPR retain stronger regional organization. Smaller parties face high barriers to clearing the 5% threshold amid limited independent polling and wartime constraints on opposition activity. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and pre-election dynamics rather than raw vote shares.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Mananalo ba ang United Russia (ER) ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa susunod na halalang parlyamentaryo ng Russia?
98%
Oo
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
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