Recent polling consistently positions the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by strong francophone backing and successive by-election gains. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely at 25-27 percent, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec sits near 20 percent following its April 2026 leadership transition. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada reflect the Parti Québécois on track for a plurality or majority under first-past-the-post rules, though high undecided voter shares and regional dynamics leave room for shifts. Trader consensus reflects these trends while acknowledging the contest remains competitive weeks before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 70%
CAQ 17%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$760,584 Vol.
$760,584 Vol.

PQ
70%

CAQ
17%

PLQ
14%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
PQ 70%
CAQ 17%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$760,584 Vol.
$760,584 Vol.

PQ
70%

CAQ
17%

PLQ
14%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently positions the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by strong francophone backing and successive by-election gains. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely at 25-27 percent, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec sits near 20 percent following its April 2026 leadership transition. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada reflect the Parti Québécois on track for a plurality or majority under first-past-the-post rules, though high undecided voter shares and regional dynamics leave room for shifts. Trader consensus reflects these trends while acknowledging the contest remains competitive weeks before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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