Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Oakland Mayoral Election
Politika·Midterms

Oakland Mayoral Election

icon for Oakland Mayoral Election
Politika·Midterms

Oakland Mayoral Election

Polymarket
BAGO
Polymarket
BAGO

Barbara Lee

$1,159 Vol.

90%

Brenda Grisham

$144 Vol.

9%

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Incumbent Barbara Lee holds a dominant position in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election, backed by her 2025 special-election victory, extensive fundraising lead, and broad institutional endorsements. Recent developments, including her June announcement of a full-term bid and efforts to advance a strong-mayor charter measure, have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects. The limited field of challengers—Brenda Grisham, Mindy Pechenuk, and Julius Robinson—has shown modest campaign activity and little momentum through the filing deadline, with no major polling shifts or late-breaking events altering the race in the past month. Market pricing reflects this incumbency advantage and the absence of competitive dynamics that historically favor upset outcomes in similar municipal contests.

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Volume
$1,303
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Incumbent Barbara Lee holds a dominant position in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election, backed by her 2025 special-election victory, extensive fundraising lead, and broad institutional endorsements. Recent developments, including her June announcement of a full-term bid and efforts to advance a strong-mayor charter measure, have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects. The limited field of challengers—Brenda Grisham, Mindy Pechenuk, and Julius Robinson—has shown modest campaign activity and little momentum through the filing deadline, with no major polling shifts or late-breaking events altering the race in the past month. Market pricing reflects this incumbency advantage and the absence of competitive dynamics that historically favor upset outcomes in similar municipal contests.

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Volume
$1,303
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Mananalo ba si Karen Bass sa 2026 na eleksyon ng alkalde ng Los Angeles?

Mananalo ba si Karen Bass sa 2026 na eleksyon ng alkalde ng Los Angeles?

63%
Oo
icon for Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

90%
icon for Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

89%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oakland Mayoral Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Barbara Lee" sa 90%, sinusundan ng "Brenda Grisham" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 90¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Oakland Mayoral Election" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 27, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Oakland Mayoral Election," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oakland Mayoral Election" ay "Barbara Lee" sa 90%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Brenda Grisham" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oakland Mayoral Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.