Recent polling for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD holding a consistent lead near 36 percent, with the SPD trailing at around 29 percent and gaining modestly in the latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA. This positioning underpins trader consensus on the SPD as the clear favorite for second place, reflecting the party’s long incumbency under Minister President Manuela Schwesig and limited volatility in voter intentions. Lower probabilities assigned to the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties align with their single-digit to low-double-digit shares and weaker trends. No major campaign events or candidate shifts in the past month have altered these standings, leaving the two-party gap and seat projections as the dominant drivers of current market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSPD 86%
AfD 14.1%
FDP <1%
BSW <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
86%
AfD
14%
FDP
1%
BSW
1%
Grüne
<1%
CDU
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
SPD 86%
AfD 14.1%
FDP <1%
BSW <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
$2,002 Vol.
86%
AfD
$2,240 Vol.
14%
FDP
$874 Vol.
1%
BSW
$800 Vol.
1%
Grüne
$812 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$803 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$653 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD holding a consistent lead near 36 percent, with the SPD trailing at around 29 percent and gaining modestly in the latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA. This positioning underpins trader consensus on the SPD as the clear favorite for second place, reflecting the party’s long incumbency under Minister President Manuela Schwesig and limited volatility in voter intentions. Lower probabilities assigned to the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties align with their single-digit to low-double-digit shares and weaker trends. No major campaign events or candidate shifts in the past month have altered these standings, leaving the two-party gap and seat projections as the dominant drivers of current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$8,999Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD holding a consistent lead near 36 percent, with the SPD trailing at around 29 percent and gaining modestly in the latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA. This positioning underpins trader consensus on the SPD as the clear favorite for second place, reflecting the party’s long incumbency under Minister President Manuela Schwesig and limited volatility in voter intentions. Lower probabilities assigned to the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties align with their single-digit to low-double-digit shares and weaker trends. No major campaign events or candidate shifts in the past month have altered these standings, leaving the two-party gap and seat projections as the dominant drivers of current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$8,999Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD holding a consistent lead near 36 percent, with the SPD trailing at around 29 percent and gaining modestly in the latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA. This positioning underpins trader consensus on the SPD as the clear favorite for second place, reflecting the party’s long incumbency under Minister President Manuela Schwesig and limited volatility in voter intentions. Lower probabilities assigned to the CDU, Linke, and smaller parties align with their single-digit to low-double-digit shares and weaker trends. No major campaign events or candidate shifts in the past month have altered these standings, leaving the two-party gap and seat projections as the dominant drivers of current market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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