Recent polling in Berlin shows AfD support hovering near 18-19 percent in July surveys from INSA and others, placing the party in a tight cluster with Die Linke, CDU, and the Greens ahead of the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus. This fragmented field, combined with Berlin's proportional representation system and historical overhang mandates, produces variable seat projections around the low-to-mid 20s and sustains close probabilities across adjacent ranges in the market. National AfD momentum at roughly 28 percent and momentum from eastern state contests have lifted expectations, yet the capital's distinct voter base and competition from established parties limit further separation. Late shifts in turnout, coalition signals, or final-week events could still adjust final seat totals within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update26-28 21%
20-22 19%
29-31 16%
23-25 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
<20
12%
20-22
19%
23-25
13%
26-28
21%
29-31
16%
32-34
9%
35+
7%
26-28 21%
20-22 19%
29-31 16%
23-25 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$442 Vol.
12%
20-22
$144 Vol.
19%
23-25
$97 Vol.
13%
26-28
$222 Vol.
21%
29-31
$113 Vol.
16%
32-34
$87 Vol.
9%
35+
$304 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling in Berlin shows AfD support hovering near 18-19 percent in July surveys from INSA and others, placing the party in a tight cluster with Die Linke, CDU, and the Greens ahead of the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus. This fragmented field, combined with Berlin's proportional representation system and historical overhang mandates, produces variable seat projections around the low-to-mid 20s and sustains close probabilities across adjacent ranges in the market. National AfD momentum at roughly 28 percent and momentum from eastern state contests have lifted expectations, yet the capital's distinct voter base and competition from established parties limit further separation. Late shifts in turnout, coalition signals, or final-week events could still adjust final seat totals within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,409Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling in Berlin shows AfD support hovering near 18-19 percent in July surveys from INSA and others, placing the party in a tight cluster with Die Linke, CDU, and the Greens ahead of the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus. This fragmented field, combined with Berlin's proportional representation system and historical overhang mandates, produces variable seat projections around the low-to-mid 20s and sustains close probabilities across adjacent ranges in the market. National AfD momentum at roughly 28 percent and momentum from eastern state contests have lifted expectations, yet the capital's distinct voter base and competition from established parties limit further separation. Late shifts in turnout, coalition signals, or final-week events could still adjust final seat totals within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$1,409Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Berlin shows AfD support hovering near 18-19 percent in July surveys from INSA and others, placing the party in a tight cluster with Die Linke, CDU, and the Greens ahead of the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus. This fragmented field, combined with Berlin's proportional representation system and historical overhang mandates, produces variable seat projections around the low-to-mid 20s and sustains close probabilities across adjacent ranges in the market. National AfD momentum at roughly 28 percent and momentum from eastern state contests have lifted expectations, yet the capital's distinct voter base and competition from established parties limit further separation. Late shifts in turnout, coalition signals, or final-week events could still adjust final seat totals within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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