AfD leads recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election by several points, with support near 36 percent compared to the incumbent SPD near 29 percent and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained strength in eastern German states, voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition, and the AfD’s consistent plurality in surveys from firms such as INSA and Infratest dimap over the past several months. Limited prospects for smaller parties clearing the threshold complicate coalition math for any anti-AfD bloc, while AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has sought a more moderate profile. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to AfD securing the largest share of seats.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,704 Vol.
$455,704 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,704 Vol.
$455,704 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$79,681 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,341 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD leads recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election by several points, with support near 36 percent compared to the incumbent SPD near 29 percent and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained strength in eastern German states, voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition, and the AfD’s consistent plurality in surveys from firms such as INSA and Infratest dimap over the past several months. Limited prospects for smaller parties clearing the threshold complicate coalition math for any anti-AfD bloc, while AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has sought a more moderate profile. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to AfD securing the largest share of seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$455,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD leads recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election by several points, with support near 36 percent compared to the incumbent SPD near 29 percent and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained strength in eastern German states, voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition, and the AfD’s consistent plurality in surveys from firms such as INSA and Infratest dimap over the past several months. Limited prospects for smaller parties clearing the threshold complicate coalition math for any anti-AfD bloc, while AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has sought a more moderate profile. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to AfD securing the largest share of seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$455,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD leads recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election by several points, with support near 36 percent compared to the incumbent SPD near 29 percent and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained strength in eastern German states, voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition, and the AfD’s consistent plurality in surveys from firms such as INSA and Infratest dimap over the past several months. Limited prospects for smaller parties clearing the threshold complicate coalition math for any anti-AfD bloc, while AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has sought a more moderate profile. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to AfD securing the largest share of seats.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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