Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the Polymarket market, reflecting his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. As the sitting mayor since 2022, Hsieh benefits from name recognition, administrative record, and recent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei, who sits at just 6.5%. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in Taiwanese municipal races, where party infrastructure and local governance visibility often prove decisive. Limited movement on other listed candidates or the broad “Other” category indicates minimal trading interest, consistent with the two-candidate focus dominating coverage. No major late-breaking events, recalls, or shifts in voter blocs have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
7%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$875 Vol.
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
$315 Vol.
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the Polymarket market, reflecting his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. As the sitting mayor since 2022, Hsieh benefits from name recognition, administrative record, and recent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei, who sits at just 6.5%. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in Taiwanese municipal races, where party infrastructure and local governance visibility often prove decisive. Limited movement on other listed candidates or the broad “Other” category indicates minimal trading interest, consistent with the two-candidate focus dominating coverage. No major late-breaking events, recalls, or shifts in voter blocs have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,190Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the Polymarket market, reflecting his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. As the sitting mayor since 2022, Hsieh benefits from name recognition, administrative record, and recent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei, who sits at just 6.5%. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in Taiwanese municipal races, where party infrastructure and local governance visibility often prove decisive. Limited movement on other listed candidates or the broad “Other” category indicates minimal trading interest, consistent with the two-candidate focus dominating coverage. No major late-breaking events, recalls, or shifts in voter blocs have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,190Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the Polymarket market, reflecting his established position ahead of the November 2026 local elections. As the sitting mayor since 2022, Hsieh benefits from name recognition, administrative record, and recent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei, who sits at just 6.5%. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in Taiwanese municipal races, where party infrastructure and local governance visibility often prove decisive. Limited movement on other listed candidates or the broad “Other” category indicates minimal trading interest, consistent with the two-candidate focus dominating coverage. No major late-breaking events, recalls, or shifts in voter blocs have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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