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Politika·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 84%

Ko Chih-en 13.4%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.6%

Hsu Chih-chieh 4.0%

Polymarket
BAGO

Lai Jui-lung 84%

Ko Chih-en 13.4%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.6%

Hsu Chih-chieh 4.0%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$1,111 Vol.

84%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$141 Vol.

13%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$86 Vol.

6%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$140 Vol.

4%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$88 Vol.

2%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$92 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,657
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,657
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lai Jui-lung" sa 84%, sinusundan ng "Ko Chih-en" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 84¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 84% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" ay "Lai Jui-lung" sa 84%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 84% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ko Chih-en" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.