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Politika·Serbia

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Politika·Serbia

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 52.0%

Ilija Srdanović 36%

Stefan Krkobabić 5.0%

Vladan Đokić 4.6%

Polymarket

$412,392 Vol.

Aleksandar Vučić 52.0%

Ilija Srdanović 36%

Stefan Krkobabić 5.0%

Vladan Đokić 4.6%

Polymarket

$412,392 Vol.

icon for Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić

$278,905 Vol.

52%

icon for Ilija Srdanović

Ilija Srdanović

$58,924 Vol.

36%

icon for Stefan Krkobabić

Stefan Krkobabić

$7,668 Vol.

5%

icon for Vladan Đokić

Vladan Đokić

$12,173 Vol.

5%

icon for Ana Brnabić

Ana Brnabić

$17,999 Vol.

1%

icon for Dragan Đilas

Dragan Đilas

$8,327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miloš Vučević

Miloš Vučević

$8,969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Đuro Macut

Đuro Macut

$5,606 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivica Dačić

Ivica Dačić

$6,990 Vol.

<1%

icon for Branimir Jovanović

Branimir Jovanović

$6,831 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić leads the market at 52% as the Serbian Progressive Party nominee for prime minister ahead of the October 25, 2026 snap parliamentary elections. He announced his presidential resignation in June 2026 to enable the move, following sustained student-led protests over the 2024 Novi Sad railway incident and governance concerns that prompted earlier prime ministerial changes from Miloš Vučević to Đuro Macut. The ruling coalition’s parliamentary majority position and Vučić’s long dominance keep his implied probability elevated, yet opposition lists—including student-backed options—and coalition math introduce uncertainty that caps separation from alternatives trading near 50%. Election results and subsequent National Assembly vote will determine the outcome before the 2028 resolution window.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$412,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić leads the market at 52% as the Serbian Progressive Party nominee for prime minister ahead of the October 25, 2026 snap parliamentary elections. He announced his presidential resignation in June 2026 to enable the move, following sustained student-led protests over the 2024 Novi Sad railway incident and governance concerns that prompted earlier prime ministerial changes from Miloš Vučević to Đuro Macut. The ruling coalition’s parliamentary majority position and Vučić’s long dominance keep his implied probability elevated, yet opposition lists—including student-backed options—and coalition math introduce uncertainty that caps separation from alternatives trading near 50%. Election results and subsequent National Assembly vote will determine the outcome before the 2028 resolution window.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$412,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Aleksandar Vučić" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Ilija Srdanović" sa 36%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" ay naka-generate ng $412.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" ay "Aleksandar Vučić" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ilija Srdanović" sa 36%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.