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Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028

icon for Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Kamala Harris 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,139,323,154 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Kamala Harris 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,139,323,154 Vol.

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$25,098,159 Vol.

24%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$11,569,195 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$12,822,387 Vol.

9%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$11,101,901 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$8,002,294 Vol.

5%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$10,486,931 Vol.

4%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$11,883,665 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$13,501,910 Vol.

3%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$15,056,468 Vol.

2%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$9,180,060 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$10,167,574 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$14,194,369 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$24,816,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$22,860,167 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$15,958,246 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$9,197,862 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$11,641,635 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$20,255,118 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$29,184,698 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$23,855,034 Vol.

1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$19,229,009 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$21,645,447 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$48,451,039 Vol.

1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$50,714,087 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$28,580,676 Vol.

1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$29,452,281 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$49,249,364 Vol.

1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$35,799,464 Vol.

1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,776,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$6,460,422 Vol.

1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$25,092,008 Vol.

1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$41,366,340 Vol.

1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$37,723,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$15,237,223 Vol.

1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$31,335,766 Vol.

1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$40,124,347 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$40,141,037 Vol.

1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$38,858,980 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$45,562,195 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$39,414,837 Vol.

1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$39,164,052 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$34,983,199 Vol.

1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$33,443,549 Vol.

1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$40,688,904 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his executive experience managing the nation's largest state economy, national fundraising prowess, and sustained anti-Trump profile since 2024. Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 4-7 showed Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surging to 26%—ahead of Newsom at 21% and former Vice President Kamala Harris at 13%—fueled by her May comments to strategist David Axelrod emphasizing ambitions beyond any single office, elevating her market share to 9%. The fragmented field reflects a post-2024 reset with no clear incumbent path, differentiating leaders by electability (Newsom, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro), progressive energy (Ocasio-Cortez), and name recognition (Harris). Consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, alongside early Iowa-New Hampshire polling and major donor endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,139,323,154
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his executive experience managing the nation's largest state economy, national fundraising prowess, and sustained anti-Trump profile since 2024. Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 4-7 showed Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surging to 26%—ahead of Newsom at 21% and former Vice President Kamala Harris at 13%—fueled by her May comments to strategist David Axelrod emphasizing ambitions beyond any single office, elevating her market share to 9%. The fragmented field reflects a post-2024 reset with no clear incumbent path, differentiating leaders by electability (Newsom, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro), progressive energy (Ocasio-Cortez), and name recognition (Harris). Consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, alongside early Iowa-New Hampshire polling and major donor endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,139,323,154
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 44+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Gavin Newsom" sa 24%, sinusundan ng "Kamala Harris" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 24¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028" ay naka-generate ng $1.1 billion sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 11, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028," i-browse ang 44+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028" ay "Gavin Newsom" sa 24%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kamala Harris" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nominado ng Demokratikong Pangulo 2028" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.