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Politika·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 57%

Wu Shu-chin 29%

Yeh Chu-lin 12.7%

Chou Ni-an 3.6%

Polymarket
BAGO

Chen Chen-chung 57%

Wu Shu-chin 29%

Yeh Chu-lin 12.7%

Chou Ni-an 3.6%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$1,456 Vol.

57%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$2,834 Vol.

29%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$275 Vol.

13%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$350 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$219 Vol.

4%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$744 Vol.

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader pricing in the Penghu County Magistrate race following his uncontroversial KMT nomination as Huxi Township head in April 2026 and consistent polling advantage. The contest remains closely contested because the incumbent DPP magistrate Chen Kuang-fu suffered a serious fall in February 2026 that left him in intensive care, prompting the party to substitute his wife Wu Shu-chin in June. Yeh Chu-lin’s independent candidacy again fragments pan-blue support as it did in 2022, while Hsu Chih-fu and other independents add further uncertainty. Traders price in these structural factors and the limited time before November registration closes and the late-November vote, with policy debates over childcare subsidies and local economic measures offering limited separation so far.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,877
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader pricing in the Penghu County Magistrate race following his uncontroversial KMT nomination as Huxi Township head in April 2026 and consistent polling advantage. The contest remains closely contested because the incumbent DPP magistrate Chen Kuang-fu suffered a serious fall in February 2026 that left him in intensive care, prompting the party to substitute his wife Wu Shu-chin in June. Yeh Chu-lin’s independent candidacy again fragments pan-blue support as it did in 2022, while Hsu Chih-fu and other independents add further uncertainty. Traders price in these structural factors and the limited time before November registration closes and the late-November vote, with policy debates over childcare subsidies and local economic measures offering limited separation so far.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,877
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

87%
icon for Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

81%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

86%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Chen Chen-chung" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "Wu Shu-chin" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay "Chen Chen-chung" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Wu Shu-chin" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.