Trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his role as the primary opposition standard-bearer after legal rulings barred Jair Bolsonaro from candidacy. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva registers lower odds at 14.5 percent, aligned with expectations he will lead the first round outright as incumbent. Probabilities for figures such as Tereza Cristina, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain modest amid a dispersed conservative and centrist field. Party conventions scheduled through mid-2026 and any shifts in coalition alignments represent the main variables that could alter these assessments before voters cast ballots.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlávio Bolsonaro 60%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 6.6%
Romeu Zema 5.4%
$3,517,917 Vol.
$3,517,917 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
60%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
15%
Renan Santos
7%
Romeu Zema
5%
Tereza Cristina
5%
Michelle Bolsonaro
3%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Camilo Santana
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 60%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 6.6%
Romeu Zema 5.4%
$3,517,917 Vol.
$3,517,917 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$56,376 Vol.
60%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$67,022 Vol.
15%
Renan Santos
$994,580 Vol.
7%
Romeu Zema
$256,180 Vol.
5%
Tereza Cristina
$2,068 Vol.
5%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$71,041 Vol.
3%
Fernando Haddad
$651,213 Vol.
3%
Camilo Santana
$56,008 Vol.
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$123,359 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$288,325 Vol.
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$111,040 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$29,825 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$642,631 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$48,401 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$1,986 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$77,363 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$40,500 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his role as the primary opposition standard-bearer after legal rulings barred Jair Bolsonaro from candidacy. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva registers lower odds at 14.5 percent, aligned with expectations he will lead the first round outright as incumbent. Probabilities for figures such as Tereza Cristina, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain modest amid a dispersed conservative and centrist field. Party conventions scheduled through mid-2026 and any shifts in coalition alignments represent the main variables that could alter these assessments before voters cast ballots.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$3,517,917Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his role as the primary opposition standard-bearer after legal rulings barred Jair Bolsonaro from candidacy. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva registers lower odds at 14.5 percent, aligned with expectations he will lead the first round outright as incumbent. Probabilities for figures such as Tereza Cristina, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain modest amid a dispersed conservative and centrist field. Party conventions scheduled through mid-2026 and any shifts in coalition alignments represent the main variables that could alter these assessments before voters cast ballots.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$3,517,917Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his role as the primary opposition standard-bearer after legal rulings barred Jair Bolsonaro from candidacy. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva registers lower odds at 14.5 percent, aligned with expectations he will lead the first round outright as incumbent. Probabilities for figures such as Tereza Cristina, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain modest amid a dispersed conservative and centrist field. Party conventions scheduled through mid-2026 and any shifts in coalition alignments represent the main variables that could alter these assessments before voters cast ballots.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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