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Politika·Brazil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate
Politika·Brazil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Alfredo Gaspar 55%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Priscila Costa 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Alfredo Gaspar 55%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Priscila Costa 8%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Alfredo Gaspar

Alfredo Gaspar

$3 Vol.

55%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$128 Vol.

10%

icon for Daniella Marques

Daniella Marques

$335 Vol.

10%

icon for Priscila Costa

Priscila Costa

$218 Vol.

8%

icon for Simone Marquetto

Simone Marquetto

$81 Vol.

5%

icon for Marcos Pontes

Marcos Pontes

$177 Vol.

2%

icon for Rogério Marinho

Rogério Marinho

$784 Vol.

1%

icon for Júlia Zanatta

Júlia Zanatta

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Clarissa Tércio

Clarissa Tércio

$107 Vol.

-

icon for Damares Alves

Damares Alves

$73 Vol.

-

icon for Renata Abreu

Renata Abreu

$73 Vol.

-

icon for Gilson Machado

Gilson Machado

$73 Vol.

-

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$107 Vol.

37%

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$66 Vol.

-

icon for Rosana Valle

Rosana Valle

$73 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's choice of a vice-presidential running mate for the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election remains closely contested among traders, with Alfredo Gaspar holding a narrow lead amid many near-even outcomes. The August 5 announcement naming the Liberal Party lawmaker from Alagoas followed weeks of internal party deliberations and failed outreach to centrist figures such as Tereza Cristina and Daniella Marques, whose parties declined to endorse the ticket. Limited broader alliances beyond the PL have kept the field open, sustaining tight pricing between Gaspar and other party-aligned options while lower probabilities for figures like Michelle Bolsonaro and external names reflect alliance constraints and registration deadlines. Upcoming Superior Electoral Court filing timelines could still allow shifts if additional endorsements emerge.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,358
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's choice of a vice-presidential running mate for the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election remains closely contested among traders, with Alfredo Gaspar holding a narrow lead amid many near-even outcomes. The August 5 announcement naming the Liberal Party lawmaker from Alagoas followed weeks of internal party deliberations and failed outreach to centrist figures such as Tereza Cristina and Daniella Marques, whose parties declined to endorse the ticket. Limited broader alliances beyond the PL have kept the field open, sustaining tight pricing between Gaspar and other party-aligned options while lower probabilities for figures like Michelle Bolsonaro and external names reflect alliance constraints and registration deadlines. Upcoming Superior Electoral Court filing timelines could still allow shifts if additional endorsements emerge.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,358
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

Kaugnay

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

99%
icon for Mananalo ba si Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

Mananalo ba si Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

65%
Oo
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

96%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Alfredo Gaspar" sa 56%, sinusundan ng "Damares Alves" sa 42%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 4, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay "Alfredo Gaspar" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Damares Alves" sa 42%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.