Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 Vol.
$62,668 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
81%
Efraim Filho
10%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 Vol.
$62,668 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,684 Vol.
81%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 Vol.
10%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 Vol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$899 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$881 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,436 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$62,668Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,668Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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